#Netherlands: centre-right New Social Contract (NSC-EPP) of Pieter Omtzigt reaches a record low at 1.8% of the vote, in the latest Verian poll.

NSC was founded in late August 2023 and was the country's largest party around 19% in Europe Elects' polling average as late as October 2023.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Germany, GMS poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 4% (-2)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 27 November-2 December 2024

Fieldwork: 27 December 2024-2 January 2025
Sample size: 1,010

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia (Presidential election, first round), Ipsos exit poll:

Men versus women

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.7% | 51.9%
Primorac (*-EPP): 21.6% | 15.9%
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.2% | 10.5%
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 6.6% | 11.6%

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia (Presidential election, first round), Ipsos exit poll:

Age groups per electorate (60+ vs. 45-59 vs. 30-44 vs. 18-29)

Milanović (*-S&D): 57% | 50% | 48% | 43%
Primorac (*-EPP): 23% | 20% | 15% | 13%
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8% | 11% | 11% | 9%
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 3% | 8% | 13% | 21%

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia (Presidential election, first round), Ipsos exit poll:

Highest degree in the formal education system per electorate (university vs. secondary school vs. primary school)

Milanović (*-S&D): 48% | 53% | 47%
Primorac (*-EPP): 15% | 20% | 32%
Selak-Raspudić (*): 12% | 8% | 6%
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 14% | 7% | 4%

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Bulgaria, Market Links poll:

GERB/SDS-EPP: 28% (+2)
PP/DB-RE|EPP: 15% (+1)
V-ESN: 14% (+1)
DPS/NN-NI: 13% (+1)
BSPOL-S&D|LEFT: 8%
APS-RE: 7% (-1)
ITN-ECR: 5% (-2)
MECh-*: 4% (-1)

+/- vs. October 2024 election

Fieldwork: 12-20 December 2024
Sample size: 1,007

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

#Spain, Target Point poll:

PP-EPP: 33% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 15%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+1)
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+2)
SALF-ECR|NI: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 20-22 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-30 December 2024
Sample size: 1,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Austria, IFDD poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 37%
ÖVP-EPP: 21%
SPÖ-S&D: 19% (-1)
NEOS-RE: 11% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 8%
KPÖ-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 17–18 December 2024

Fieldwork: 03-04 January 2025
Sample size: 1125

➤ http://europeelects.eu/austria

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 20% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 4% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 27-30 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024-3 January 2025
Sample size: 1,201

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia: in the first round of the last week presidential election, the incumbent president Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) won a plurality of votes in all 20 counties and in city of Zagreb. This is the first time since 2005 that one presidential candidate wins a plurality of votes in all counties and in the capital, and a second time overall for SDP (S&D)-supported candidate to do so in Croatian history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia: in the first round of the last week presidential election, HDZ-supported candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) has won the majority of the diaspora vote.

Croatian citizens living abroad were able to vote in 38 countries, with a total of 105 polling stations opened for the first round of the presidential election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

UK (GB), Stonehaven poll:

MRP seat projection

LAB-S&D: 278 (-133)
CON~ECR: 157 (+36)
REFORM~NI: 120 (+115)
LDEM-RE: 47 (-25)
SNP-G/EFA: 24 (+15)

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 6-9 December 2024
Sample size: 2,072

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27%
VOX-PfE: 12%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 25 November-4 December 2024

Fieldwork: 19-26 December 2024
Sample size: 2,485

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 21.5% (+1.5)
SPD-S&D: 15.5% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13.5% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 6.5% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 30 December 2024-3 January 2025

Fieldwork: 3-6 January 2025
Sample size: 2,001

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

Türkiye, Kontak poll:

CHP-S&D: 36% (+11)
AKP~NI: 31% (-5)
MHP~NI: 8% (-2)
İYİ~RE: 6% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 6% (-3)
ZP-*: 5% (+3)
AP-*: 2% (new)
YRP-*: 1% (-2)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)
MP-*: 1%
SP~NI: 1% (n.a.)
BBP-*: 1%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 2-7 December 2024
Sample size: 2,325

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidate)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 52% (+2)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 48% (+3)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 56% (+6)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 44% (-1)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 66% (+16)
Özel (CHP-S&D): 34% (-11)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 9-12 December 2024
Sample size: 1,860

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Spectrum House poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (-2)
AKP~NI: 31% (+4)
DEM-S&D: 11%
MHP~NI: 7% (-3)
İYİ~RE: 5%
ZP-*: 4% (-2)
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-9 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25 November-3 December 2024
Sample size: 2,028

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

LSDP-S&D: 18% (-2)
NA-*: 18% (+3)
TS LKD-EPP: 17% (-1)
LS-RE: 12% (+4)
DSVL-G/EFA: 11% (+2)
LVŽS-ECR: 9% (+2)
LP-RE: 3% (-2)

+/- 2024 election

Fieldwork: 13-20 December 2024
Sample size: 1,016

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19%
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 17-20 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,501

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 23% (+1)
M5S-LEFT: 11% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9% (+1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 11-16 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy