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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

@c0ldness

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The regulator took order for the search and seizure operation from Judge Purushottam B Jadhav, Sebi Special Judge / Additional Sessions Judge. One thing that Telegram now offers to all users is the ability to “disappear” messages or set remote deletion deadlines. That enables users to have much more control over how long people can access what you’re sending them. Given that Russian law enforcement officials are reportedly (via Insider) stopping people in the street and demanding to read their text messages, this could be vital to protect individuals from reprisals. Overall, extreme levels of fear in the market seems to have morphed into something more resembling concern. For example, the Cboe Volatility Index fell from its 2022 peak of 36, which it hit Monday, to around 30 on Friday, a sign of easing tensions. Meanwhile, while the price of WTI crude oil slipped from Sunday’s multiyear high $130 of barrel to $109 a pop. Markets have been expecting heavy restrictions on Russian oil, some of which the U.S. has already imposed, and that would reduce the global supply and bring about even more burdensome inflation. But Telegram says people want to keep their chat history when they get a new phone, and they like having a data backup that will sync their chats across multiple devices. And that is why they let people choose whether they want their messages to be encrypted or not. When not turned on, though, chats are stored on Telegram's services, which are scattered throughout the world. But it has "disclosed 0 bytes of user data to third parties, including governments," Telegram states on its website. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) had carried out a similar exercise in 2017 in a matter related to circulation of messages through WhatsApp.
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