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Россия и мир: 2025

Прогноз коллег из ИМЭМО РАН на следующий год.

Доклад состоит их трех частей: глобальные тренды, экономика и внешняя политика. Главное внимание сфокусировано на проблемах, имеющих ключевое значение для обеспечения стабильного экономического и политического развития России на ближайшую и более отдаленную перспективу.

Анализируются основные внешние вызовы для России и возможности ответа на них.



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Россия и мир: 2025

Прогноз коллег из ИМЭМО РАН на следующий год.

Доклад состоит их трех частей: глобальные тренды, экономика и внешняя политика. Главное внимание сфокусировано на проблемах, имеющих ключевое значение для обеспечения стабильного экономического и политического развития России на ближайшую и более отдаленную перспективу.

Анализируются основные внешние вызовы для России и возможности ответа на них.

BY Ассоциация внешнеполитических исследований им. А.А. Громыко


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Under the Sebi Act, the regulator has the power to carry out search and seizure of books, registers, documents including electronics and digital devices from any person associated with the securities market. The last couple days have exemplified that uncertainty. On Thursday, news emerged that talks in Turkey between the Russia and Ukraine yielded no positive result. But on Friday, Reuters reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin said there had been some “positive shifts” in talks between the two sides. Investors took profits on Friday while they could ahead of the weekend, explained Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Saturday and Sunday could easily bring unfortunate news on the war front—and traders would rather be able to sell any recent winnings at Friday’s earlier prices than wait for a potentially lower price at Monday’s open. That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future. Overall, extreme levels of fear in the market seems to have morphed into something more resembling concern. For example, the Cboe Volatility Index fell from its 2022 peak of 36, which it hit Monday, to around 30 on Friday, a sign of easing tensions. Meanwhile, while the price of WTI crude oil slipped from Sunday’s multiyear high $130 of barrel to $109 a pop. Markets have been expecting heavy restrictions on Russian oil, some of which the U.S. has already imposed, and that would reduce the global supply and bring about even more burdensome inflation.
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Telegram Ассоциация внешнеполитических исследований им. А.А. Громыко
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