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Проекция роста гос. долга США от Бюджетного управления Конгресса (CBO) на 2020-2050

«Долг достигнет 107% от ВВП к 2031 году и продолжит расти. Этот сценарий предполагает отсутствие войн, рецессий и сохранения низких процентных ставок»

Насколько успешен был предыдущий прогноз?

В 2010-2020 годах долг вырос на 71% выше ожиданий. За тот же период ВВП недобрал 28% запланированного роста.

Экстраполируем на следующие 10 лет и получим корректировку официальных цифр до ~150% долга к ВВП к 2031 г. и 388% к 2050 г.



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Проекция роста гос. долга США от Бюджетного управления Конгресса (CBO) на 2020-2050

«Долг достигнет 107% от ВВП к 2031 году и продолжит расти. Этот сценарий предполагает отсутствие войн, рецессий и сохранения низких процентных ставок»

Насколько успешен был предыдущий прогноз?

В 2010-2020 годах долг вырос на 71% выше ожиданий. За тот же период ВВП недобрал 28% запланированного роста.

Экстраполируем на следующие 10 лет и получим корректировку официальных цифр до ~150% долга к ВВП к 2031 г. и 388% к 2050 г.

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Recently, Durav wrote on his Telegram channel that users' right to privacy, in light of the war in Ukraine, is "sacred, now more than ever." To that end, when files are actively downloading, a new icon now appears in the Search bar that users can tap to view and manage downloads, pause and resume all downloads or just individual items, and select one to increase its priority or view it in a chat. But Telegram says people want to keep their chat history when they get a new phone, and they like having a data backup that will sync their chats across multiple devices. And that is why they let people choose whether they want their messages to be encrypted or not. When not turned on, though, chats are stored on Telegram's services, which are scattered throughout the world. But it has "disclosed 0 bytes of user data to third parties, including governments," Telegram states on its website. Telegram was co-founded by Pavel and Nikolai Durov, the brothers who had previously created VKontakte. VK is Russia’s equivalent of Facebook, a social network used for public and private messaging, audio and video sharing as well as online gaming. In January, SimpleWeb reported that VK was Russia’s fourth most-visited website, after Yandex, YouTube and Google’s Russian-language homepage. In 2016, Forbes’ Michael Solomon described Pavel Durov (pictured, below) as the “Mark Zuckerberg of Russia.” On Feb. 27, however, he admitted from his Russian-language account that "Telegram channels are increasingly becoming a source of unverified information related to Ukrainian events."
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