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Forwarded from Ukraine War Analysis
The war began 3 years ago at this very hour. I think if you could go back and show people these maps of 2022 and 2025, no one would believe you. Not the Russians, not the Ukrainians, not the Americans, not anyone.

The famous line "three days to Kiev" is often falsely attributed to the Russians but was in fact spoken by an American general. No one thought Ukraine would survive the first few weeks. I don't think even Zelensky did, as he famously handed out weaponry to civilians for a last ditch defense of the city. But here we are three years later.

The one thing I can say is that there is a light at the end of the tunnel, the war is coming towards an end. Whether it will be a lasting peace or a temporary ceasefire remains to be seen.

There is still a lot to be worked out in the negotiations and the position of the parties are too far apart for this to end quickly. In my opinion the fighting will continue until early 2026.



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The war began 3 years ago at this very hour. I think if you could go back and show people these maps of 2022 and 2025, no one would believe you. Not the Russians, not the Ukrainians, not the Americans, not anyone.

The famous line "three days to Kiev" is often falsely attributed to the Russians but was in fact spoken by an American general. No one thought Ukraine would survive the first few weeks. I don't think even Zelensky did, as he famously handed out weaponry to civilians for a last ditch defense of the city. But here we are three years later.

The one thing I can say is that there is a light at the end of the tunnel, the war is coming towards an end. Whether it will be a lasting peace or a temporary ceasefire remains to be seen.

There is still a lot to be worked out in the negotiations and the position of the parties are too far apart for this to end quickly. In my opinion the fighting will continue until early 2026.

BY Full❄️Haus




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"There are several million Russians who can lift their head up from propaganda and try to look for other sources, and I'd say that most look for it on Telegram," he said. Update March 8, 2022: EFF has clarified that Channels and Groups are not fully encrypted, end-to-end, updated our post to link to Telegram’s FAQ for Cloud and Secret chats, updated to clarify that auto-delete is available for group and channel admins, and added some additional links. So, uh, whenever I hear about Telegram, it’s always in relation to something bad. What gives? Given the pro-privacy stance of the platform, it’s taken as a given that it’ll be used for a number of reasons, not all of them good. And Telegram has been attached to a fair few scandals related to terrorism, sexual exploitation and crime. Back in 2015, Vox described Telegram as “ISIS’ app of choice,” saying that the platform’s real use is the ability to use channels to distribute material to large groups at once. Telegram has acted to remove public channels affiliated with terrorism, but Pavel Durov reiterated that he had no business snooping on private conversations. As a result, the pandemic saw many newcomers to Telegram, including prominent anti-vaccine activists who used the app's hands-off approach to share false information on shots, a study from the Institute for Strategic Dialogue shows.
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