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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

@c0ldness

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In a message on his Telegram channel recently recounting the episode, Durov wrote: "I lost my company and my home, but would do it again – without hesitation." The regulator said it has been undertaking several campaigns to educate the investors to be vigilant while taking investment decisions based on stock tips. On February 27th, Durov posted that Channels were becoming a source of unverified information and that the company lacks the ability to check on their veracity. He urged users to be mistrustful of the things shared on Channels, and initially threatened to block the feature in the countries involved for the length of the war, saying that he didn’t want Telegram to be used to aggravate conflict or incite ethnic hatred. He did, however, walk back this plan when it became clear that they had also become a vital communications tool for Ukrainian officials and citizens to help coordinate their resistance and evacuations. This provided opportunity to their linked entities to offload their shares at higher prices and make significant profits at the cost of unsuspecting retail investors. For Oleksandra Tsekhanovska, head of the Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group at the Kyiv-based Ukraine Crisis Media Center, the effects are both near- and far-reaching.
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