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ЭКОНОМАЧ 📉📈🌴 | Telegram Webview: economa4/5358 -
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Forwarded from The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Prediction market odds of a recession hitting in 2025 have fallen to a new low of 27%.

Since November 1st, odds of a recession beginning in 2025 have HALVED, from 54% to 27%, according to @Kalshi.

Meanwhile, GDP growth estimates are rising with ~3% GDP growth expected in Q4 2024.

As inflation rebounds and the Fed cuts rates, markets are pricing-in a lower probability of a recession.

Are rate hikes coming back?
(@TheKobeissiLetter)



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BREAKING: Prediction market odds of a recession hitting in 2025 have fallen to a new low of 27%.

Since November 1st, odds of a recession beginning in 2025 have HALVED, from 54% to 27%, according to @Kalshi.

Meanwhile, GDP growth estimates are rising with ~3% GDP growth expected in Q4 2024.

As inflation rebounds and the Fed cuts rates, markets are pricing-in a lower probability of a recession.

Are rate hikes coming back?
(@TheKobeissiLetter)

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Telegram, which does little policing of its content, has also became a hub for Russian propaganda and misinformation. Many pro-Kremlin channels have become popular, alongside accounts of journalists and other independent observers. Multiple pro-Kremlin media figures circulated the post's false claims, including prominent Russian journalist Vladimir Soloviev and the state-controlled Russian outlet RT, according to the DFR Lab's report. In addition, Telegram now supports the use of third-party streaming tools like OBS Studio and XSplit to broadcast live video, allowing users to add overlays and multi-screen layouts for a more professional look. Ukrainian forces have since put up a strong resistance to the Russian troops amid the war that has left hundreds of Ukrainian civilians, including children, dead, according to the United Nations. Ukrainian and international officials have accused Russia of targeting civilian populations with shelling and bombardments. Some people used the platform to organize ahead of the storming of the U.S. Capitol in January 2021, and last month Senator Mark Warner sent a letter to Durov urging him to curb Russian information operations on Telegram.
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