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Как изменился прогноз ЦБ с октября?

👆Ответ в таблице

💡Прогноз ЦБ по ключевой ставке допускает ее повышение в текущем году (19–22% в среднем по году и 18.7–22.1% в среднем в остаток года)

• Пересмотр произошел вместе с заметным движением наверх прогноза по инфляции на 2025 – до 7–8% г/г на конец года

• ЦБ планирует вернуться к цели по инфляции в годовых терминах к концу 2026

• Прогноз по темпам роста требований банковской системы к экономике (кредитования в широком смысле) на 2025 пересмотрен вниз на 2 пп до 6–11% г/г

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Как изменился прогноз ЦБ с октября?

👆Ответ в таблице

💡Прогноз ЦБ по ключевой ставке допускает ее повышение в текущем году (19–22% в среднем по году и 18.7–22.1% в среднем в остаток года)

• Пересмотр произошел вместе с заметным движением наверх прогноза по инфляции на 2025 – до 7–8% г/г на конец года

• ЦБ планирует вернуться к цели по инфляции в годовых терминах к концу 2026

• Прогноз по темпам роста требований банковской системы к экономике (кредитования в широком смысле) на 2025 пересмотрен вниз на 2 пп до 6–11% г/г

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At this point, however, Durov had already been working on Telegram with his brother, and further planned a mobile-first social network with an explicit focus on anti-censorship. Later in April, he told TechCrunch that he had left Russia and had “no plans to go back,” saying that the nation was currently “incompatible with internet business at the moment.” He added later that he was looking for a country that matched his libertarian ideals to base his next startup. "Markets were cheering this economic recovery and return to strong economic growth, but the cheers will turn to tears if the inflation outbreak pushes businesses and consumers to the brink of recession," he added. But because group chats and the channel features are not end-to-end encrypted, Galperin said user privacy is potentially under threat. The company maintains that it cannot act against individual or group chats, which are “private amongst their participants,” but it will respond to requests in relation to sticker sets, channels and bots which are publicly available. During the invasion of Ukraine, Pavel Durov has wrestled with this issue a lot more prominently than he has before. Channels like Donbass Insider and Bellum Acta, as reported by Foreign Policy, started pumping out pro-Russian propaganda as the invasion began. So much so that the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council issued a statement labeling which accounts are Russian-backed. Ukrainian officials, in potential violation of the Geneva Convention, have shared imagery of dead and captured Russian soldiers on the platform. Ukrainian forces have since put up a strong resistance to the Russian troops amid the war that has left hundreds of Ukrainian civilians, including children, dead, according to the United Nations. Ukrainian and international officials have accused Russia of targeting civilian populations with shelling and bombardments.
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