#Spain, Target Point poll:

PP-EPP: 33% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 15%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+1)
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+2)
SALF-ECR|NI: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 20-22 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-30 December 2024
Sample size: 1,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Austria, IFDD poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 37%
ÖVP-EPP: 21%
SPÖ-S&D: 19% (-1)
NEOS-RE: 11% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 8%
KPÖ-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 17–18 December 2024

Fieldwork: 03-04 January 2025
Sample size: 1125

➤ http://europeelects.eu/austria

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 20% (-0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 4% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 27-30 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024-3 January 2025
Sample size: 1,201

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia: in the first round of the last week presidential election, the incumbent president Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) won a plurality of votes in all 20 counties and in city of Zagreb. This is the first time since 2005 that one presidential candidate wins a plurality of votes in all counties and in the capital, and a second time overall for SDP (S&D)-supported candidate to do so in Croatian history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia: in the first round of the last week presidential election, HDZ-supported candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) has won the majority of the diaspora vote.

Croatian citizens living abroad were able to vote in 38 countries, with a total of 105 polling stations opened for the first round of the presidential election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

UK (GB), Stonehaven poll:

MRP seat projection

LAB-S&D: 278 (-133)
CON~ECR: 157 (+36)
REFORM~NI: 120 (+115)
LDEM-RE: 47 (-25)
SNP-G/EFA: 24 (+15)

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 6-9 December 2024
Sample size: 2,072

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27%
VOX-PfE: 12%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 25 November-4 December 2024

Fieldwork: 19-26 December 2024
Sample size: 2,485

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 21.5% (+1.5)
SPD-S&D: 15.5% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13.5% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 6.5% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 30 December 2024-3 January 2025

Fieldwork: 3-6 January 2025
Sample size: 2,001

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

Türkiye, Kontak poll:

CHP-S&D: 36% (+11)
AKP~NI: 31% (-5)
MHP~NI: 8% (-2)
İYİ~RE: 6% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 6% (-3)
ZP-*: 5% (+3)
AP-*: 2% (new)
YRP-*: 1% (-2)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)
MP-*: 1%
SP~NI: 1% (n.a.)
BBP-*: 1%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 2-7 December 2024
Sample size: 2,325

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidate)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 52% (+2)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 48% (+3)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 56% (+6)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 44% (-1)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 66% (+16)
Özel (CHP-S&D): 34% (-11)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 9-12 December 2024
Sample size: 1,860

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Spectrum House poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (-2)
AKP~NI: 31% (+4)
DEM-S&D: 11%
MHP~NI: 7% (-3)
İYİ~RE: 5%
ZP-*: 4% (-2)
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-9 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25 November-3 December 2024
Sample size: 2,028

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

LSDP-S&D: 18% (-2)
NA-*: 18% (+3)
TS LKD-EPP: 17% (-1)
LS-RE: 12% (+4)
DSVL-G/EFA: 11% (+2)
LVŽS-ECR: 9% (+2)
LP-RE: 3% (-2)

+/- 2024 election

Fieldwork: 13-20 December 2024
Sample size: 1,016

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19%
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 17-20 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,501

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 23% (+1)
M5S-LEFT: 11% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9% (+1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 11-16 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Norway, InFact poll:

FrP~ECR: 24% (-2)
H-EPP: 21% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 21% (+3)
SV~LEFT: 8% (-2)
Sp~RE: 7%
R~LEFT: 6% (+1)
V-RE: 5%
KrF-EPP: 3% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,140

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+2)
RE-RE: 18%
EKRE-PfE: 16% (-2)
KE-RE|ECR: 14% (-1)
SDE-S&D: 12% (+1)
PP→EPP: 4% (+1)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
E200→EPP: 2% (-2)
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK-*: 1%

+/- vs. 16-22 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024-5 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Estonia: the liberal E200 (→EPP) reaches a five-year record low with 2.1% in the latest Norstat poll—the lowest polling result obtained by the party since January 2019, three months after its founding.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Spain, SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 22-24 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-30 December 2024
Sample size: 2,953

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, YouGov poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 21% (+2)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 29 November-3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,908

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Spain, Hamalgama Métrica poll:

PP-EPP: 35%
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+1)
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-NI: 2% (-1)
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 5-8 November 2024

Fieldwork: 31 December 2024-3 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain