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Что будет с экономикой Казахстана в 2025-м?

В 2024 году казахстанцы, хотя бы минимально интересующиеся экономикой, выучили новый термин: бюджетный кризис.

Несмотря на робкие оправдания экс-премьера Смаилова, эксперты уже сошлись во мнении: государственные финансы в плачевном состоянии, и многомиллиардные вливания денег из Нацфонда пока что не помогают привести бюджет в чувство.

О том, что происходит с казахстанской экономикой, как бороться с бюджетным кризисом, зачем Казахстан продаёт золото и будет ли доллар стоить 600 тенге, нам рассказал экономист Арман Бейсембаев.

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Что будет с экономикой Казахстана в 2025-м?

В 2024 году казахстанцы, хотя бы минимально интересующиеся экономикой, выучили новый термин: бюджетный кризис.

Несмотря на робкие оправдания экс-премьера Смаилова, эксперты уже сошлись во мнении: государственные финансы в плачевном состоянии, и многомиллиардные вливания денег из Нацфонда пока что не помогают привести бюджет в чувство.

О том, что происходит с казахстанской экономикой, как бороться с бюджетным кризисом, зачем Казахстан продаёт золото и будет ли доллар стоить 600 тенге, нам рассказал экономист Арман Бейсембаев.

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Telegram has become more interventionist over time, and has steadily increased its efforts to shut down these accounts. But this has also meant that the company has also engaged with lawmakers more generally, although it maintains that it doesn’t do so willingly. For instance, in September 2021, Telegram reportedly blocked a chat bot in support of (Putin critic) Alexei Navalny during Russia’s most recent parliamentary elections. Pavel Durov was quoted at the time saying that the company was obliged to follow a “legitimate” law of the land. He added that as Apple and Google both follow the law, to violate it would give both platforms a reason to boot the messenger from its stores. I want a secure messaging app, should I use Telegram? The War on Fakes channel has repeatedly attempted to push conspiracies that footage from Ukraine is somehow being falsified. One post on the channel from February 24 claimed without evidence that a widely viewed photo of a Ukrainian woman injured in an airstrike in the city of Chuhuiv was doctored and that the woman was seen in a different photo days later without injuries. The post, which has over 600,000 views, also baselessly claimed that the woman's blood was actually makeup or grape juice. That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future. Overall, extreme levels of fear in the market seems to have morphed into something more resembling concern. For example, the Cboe Volatility Index fell from its 2022 peak of 36, which it hit Monday, to around 30 on Friday, a sign of easing tensions. Meanwhile, while the price of WTI crude oil slipped from Sunday’s multiyear high $130 of barrel to $109 a pop. Markets have been expecting heavy restrictions on Russian oil, some of which the U.S. has already imposed, and that would reduce the global supply and bring about even more burdensome inflation.
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