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Avvalgi postlarda Kreml siyosiy ambitsiyalari geometrik progress bo’ylab shiddatda o’sayotgan, ultramillatchi kayfiyatdagi harbiylar hamda aholi orasida cheksiz obro’ga ega bo’lib borayotgan Prigojinda xatar ko’rib, uni o’yindan chetlashtirish harakatiga tushgani biroz eslab o’tilgan edi. Katta ehtimol bilan, uning Kremldagi ashaddiy raqiblari Shoygu, Gerasimov, boshqa elita vakillari Putinni Prigojin va yollanma jangarilardan tashkil topgan Vagner xizmatidan voz kechishga ko’ndirganini taxmin qilish mumkin (Balki Vagner yetakchisini jismonan yo’q qilish kelishuvi ham bo’lgandir?).

Prigojin Moskvaga yurishdan asosiy maqsad Mudofaa vazirligini amaldagi rahbarlardan tozalash ekanini ta’kidlagan bo’lsada, isyon so’nggidagi o’zgarishlar u faqatgina muqarrar likvidatsiyadan (bu jismoniy likvidatsiya bo’lishi shart emas) o’zi va Vagnerni asrab qolishga jiddiy tavakkal qilganiga ishora qildi. Katta ehtimol bilan Prigojin mamlakat ichidagi qurolli isyonga zudlikda javob qaytarishga uquvi va imkoniyatlari yetmagan Kremldan o’zi istagan xavfsizlik kafolatlarini olgach, ommaga e’lon qilingan rejasidan voz kechdi.

Albatta, Belarus prezidenti Lukashenko vositachiligida erishilgani aytilgan Kreml va Prigojin kelishuvi uzoq muddatli emasligi aniq. Balki bu murosa bir necha kun ichida buzilib ketishi ham mumkin. Har ikki tomon yuzaga kelgan keskin vaziyatdan jon saqlash yo’lida kelishdi. Ammo bir narsani aniq aytish mumkinki, bu voqea tashqaridan qattiqqo’l, bir butun organizmdek ko’ringan Putin rejimi, aslida, parokanda tizim ekanini ko’rsatib berdi. Prezident xiyonatda ayblashiga qaramay, ichki tartibni saqlashga javobgar Rossgvardiya, politsiya bo’linmalari vagnerchilar Moskvaga yaqinlashsa ham, arzirli qarshilik qilmadi yoki qilishni istamadi.



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Avvalgi postlarda Kreml siyosiy ambitsiyalari geometrik progress bo’ylab shiddatda o’sayotgan, ultramillatchi kayfiyatdagi harbiylar hamda aholi orasida cheksiz obro’ga ega bo’lib borayotgan Prigojinda xatar ko’rib, uni o’yindan chetlashtirish harakatiga tushgani biroz eslab o’tilgan edi. Katta ehtimol bilan, uning Kremldagi ashaddiy raqiblari Shoygu, Gerasimov, boshqa elita vakillari Putinni Prigojin va yollanma jangarilardan tashkil topgan Vagner xizmatidan voz kechishga ko’ndirganini taxmin qilish mumkin (Balki Vagner yetakchisini jismonan yo’q qilish kelishuvi ham bo’lgandir?).

Prigojin Moskvaga yurishdan asosiy maqsad Mudofaa vazirligini amaldagi rahbarlardan tozalash ekanini ta’kidlagan bo’lsada, isyon so’nggidagi o’zgarishlar u faqatgina muqarrar likvidatsiyadan (bu jismoniy likvidatsiya bo’lishi shart emas) o’zi va Vagnerni asrab qolishga jiddiy tavakkal qilganiga ishora qildi. Katta ehtimol bilan Prigojin mamlakat ichidagi qurolli isyonga zudlikda javob qaytarishga uquvi va imkoniyatlari yetmagan Kremldan o’zi istagan xavfsizlik kafolatlarini olgach, ommaga e’lon qilingan rejasidan voz kechdi.

Albatta, Belarus prezidenti Lukashenko vositachiligida erishilgani aytilgan Kreml va Prigojin kelishuvi uzoq muddatli emasligi aniq. Balki bu murosa bir necha kun ichida buzilib ketishi ham mumkin. Har ikki tomon yuzaga kelgan keskin vaziyatdan jon saqlash yo’lida kelishdi. Ammo bir narsani aniq aytish mumkinki, bu voqea tashqaridan qattiqqo’l, bir butun organizmdek ko’ringan Putin rejimi, aslida, parokanda tizim ekanini ko’rsatib berdi. Prezident xiyonatda ayblashiga qaramay, ichki tartibni saqlashga javobgar Rossgvardiya, politsiya bo’linmalari vagnerchilar Moskvaga yaqinlashsa ham, arzirli qarshilik qilmadi yoki qilishni istamadi.

BY Geopolitika.uz


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