#Italy, SWG poll:
FdI-ECR: 30% (+1)
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 11% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3% (+1)
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PTD-LEFT: 1%
+/- vs. 28 October - 4 November 2024
Fieldwork: 6-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,200
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
FdI-ECR: 30% (+1)
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 11% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3% (+1)
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PTD-LEFT: 1%
+/- vs. 28 October - 4 November 2024
Fieldwork: 6-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,200
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Romania, Verified poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 26% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 21% (+1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 16% (-1)
Geoană (*): 13% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+2)
Georgescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 4% (-3)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 0% (-2)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 07-09 October 2024
Fieldwork: 01-06 November 2024
Sample size: 1,064
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 26% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 21% (+1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 16% (-1)
Geoană (*): 13% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+2)
Georgescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 4% (-3)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 0% (-2)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 07-09 October 2024
Fieldwork: 01-06 November 2024
Sample size: 1,064
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
#Romania, CIRA poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 29% (+4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 19% (+3)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (+4)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 16% (+3)
Geoană (*): 9% (-5)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Georgescu (*): 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 24-30 August 2024
Fieldwork: 01-06 November 2024
Sample size: 1,150
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 29% (+4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 19% (+3)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (+4)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 16% (+3)
Geoană (*): 9% (-5)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Georgescu (*): 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 24-30 August 2024
Fieldwork: 01-06 November 2024
Sample size: 1,150
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
#Romania, BCS poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 27% (+3)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 18%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14%
Simion (AUR-ECR): 12% (-4)
Geoană (*): 8% (-2)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+1)
Georgescu (*): 6% (+3)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (+2)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (-1)
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%
+/- vs. 24-28 October 2024
Fieldwork: 07-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,157
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 27% (+3)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 18%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14%
Simion (AUR-ECR): 12% (-4)
Geoană (*): 8% (-2)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+1)
Georgescu (*): 6% (+3)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (+2)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (-1)
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%
+/- vs. 24-28 October 2024
Fieldwork: 07-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,157
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
#Switzerland: on 24 November, voters will cast their votes in four ballots on highways, tenancy law and health insurance.
The second gfs.bern poll shows a dynamic against the four ballots.
+/- vs. 30 September - 14 October 2024
Fieldwork: 28 October - 7 November 2024
Sample size: 10,358
➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland
The second gfs.bern poll shows a dynamic against the four ballots.
+/- vs. 30 September - 14 October 2024
Fieldwork: 28 October - 7 November 2024
Sample size: 10,358
➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland
#Norway, Verian poll:
H-EPP: 26% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 20% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 18% (-5)
SV~LEFT: 9%
Sp~RE: 8% (+2)
V-RE: 6% (+2)
R~LEFT: 6%
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
KrF-EPP: 3%
+/- vs. 30 September-4 October 2024
Fieldwork: 28 October-1 November 2024
Sample size: 999
➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway
H-EPP: 26% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 20% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 18% (-5)
SV~LEFT: 9%
Sp~RE: 8% (+2)
V-RE: 6% (+2)
R~LEFT: 6%
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
KrF-EPP: 3%
+/- vs. 30 September-4 October 2024
Fieldwork: 28 October-1 November 2024
Sample size: 999
➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway
#Poland, IBRiS poll:
Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)
Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 59%
Czarnek (PiS-ECR): 41%
Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 58%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 42%
Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 57%
Czarnek (PiS-ECR): 43%
Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 56%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 44%
Fieldwork: 7-9 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)
Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 59%
Czarnek (PiS-ECR): 41%
Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 58%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 42%
Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 57%
Czarnek (PiS-ECR): 43%
Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 56%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 44%
Fieldwork: 7-9 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
#Slovakia, NMS poll:
PS-RE: 25% (+1)
Smer-NI: 19% (-1)
Hlas-NI: 11% (-1)
Republika-ESN: 9% (+1)
KDH-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
S-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
D-EPP: 4% (-1)
SR~PfE: 4%
MA-EPP: 4%
SNS~PfE: 3%
ĽSNS-NI: 1%
+/- vs. 2-7 October 2024
Fieldwork: 7-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/
PS-RE: 25% (+1)
Smer-NI: 19% (-1)
Hlas-NI: 11% (-1)
Republika-ESN: 9% (+1)
KDH-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
S-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
D-EPP: 4% (-1)
SR~PfE: 4%
MA-EPP: 4%
SNS~PfE: 3%
ĽSNS-NI: 1%
+/- vs. 2-7 October 2024
Fieldwork: 7-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/
#Estonia, Norstat poll:
I-EPP: 27% (-6)
RE-RE: 18% (+1)
KE-RE|ECR: 17% (+5)
EKRE-PfE: 14% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 13%
E200→EPP: 5% (+1)
PP→EPP: 3% (-3)
EER-G/EFA: 2%
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK~ECR: 0% (-1)
+/- vs. 28 October-3 November 2024
Fieldwork: 4-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia
I-EPP: 27% (-6)
RE-RE: 18% (+1)
KE-RE|ECR: 17% (+5)
EKRE-PfE: 14% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 13%
E200→EPP: 5% (+1)
PP→EPP: 3% (-3)
EER-G/EFA: 2%
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK~ECR: 0% (-1)
+/- vs. 28 October-3 November 2024
Fieldwork: 4-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia
#Poland, United Surveys poll:
Scenario: PL2050 (RE) and PSL (EPP) run separately
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 36% (+5)
PiS-ECR: 32% (-3)
Kon-ESN|PfE|NI: 11% (+4)
NL-S&D: 8% (n.a.)
PL2050-RE: 7% (n.a.)
PSL-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
Razem-LEFT: 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 2023 election
Fieldwork: 8-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
Scenario: PL2050 (RE) and PSL (EPP) run separately
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 36% (+5)
PiS-ECR: 32% (-3)
Kon-ESN|PfE|NI: 11% (+4)
NL-S&D: 8% (n.a.)
PL2050-RE: 7% (n.a.)
PSL-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
Razem-LEFT: 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 2023 election
Fieldwork: 8-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
Europe Elects Official
#Slovakia, NMS poll: PS-RE: 25% (+1) Smer-NI: 19% (-1) Hlas-NI: 11% (-1) Republika-ESN: 9% (+1) KDH-EPP: 6% (-1) SaS-ECR: 6% S-EPP: 5% (n.a.) D-EPP: 4% (-1) SR~PfE: 4% MA-EPP: 4% SNS~PfE: 3% ĽSNS-NI: 1% +/- vs. 2-7 October 2024 Fieldwork: 7-11 November…
#Slovakia: liberal PS (RE) reaches an all-time national record high with 25.1% in the latest NMS poll.
If repeated in an national election, it would be the highest result for a list led by the party since it was founded in 2017.
In June 2024, the party has won the European Parliament election in Slovakia with 27.8%.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/
If repeated in an national election, it would be the highest result for a list led by the party since it was founded in 2017.
In June 2024, the party has won the European Parliament election in Slovakia with 27.8%.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/
#Netherlands, Ipsos-I&O poll:
PVV-PfE: 24% (-1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 16% (-1)
VVD-RE: 14%
D66-RE: 8% (+1)
CDA-EPP: 7%
SP~LEFT: 5%
PvdD-LEFT: 5%
BBB-EPP: 4%
DENK-*: 3% (+1)
CU-EPP: 2%
NSC-EPP: 2% (-1)
FvD-ESN: 2%
Volt-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
SGP-ECR: 2%
JA21~ECR: 1%
+/- vs. 18-21 October 2024
Fieldwork: 9-11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,020
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
PVV-PfE: 24% (-1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 16% (-1)
VVD-RE: 14%
D66-RE: 8% (+1)
CDA-EPP: 7%
SP~LEFT: 5%
PvdD-LEFT: 5%
BBB-EPP: 4%
DENK-*: 3% (+1)
CU-EPP: 2%
NSC-EPP: 2% (-1)
FvD-ESN: 2%
Volt-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
SGP-ECR: 2%
JA21~ECR: 1%
+/- vs. 18-21 October 2024
Fieldwork: 9-11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,020
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
Türkiye, SONAR poll:
CHP-S&D: 33% (-4)
AKP~NI: 28% (+3)
DEM-S&D: 9%
MHP~NI: 7% (-4)
İYİ~RE: 7%
ZP-*: 6%
YRP-*: 6% (+2)
+/- vs. September 2024
Fieldwork: October 2024
Sample size: N/A
➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey
CHP-S&D: 33% (-4)
AKP~NI: 28% (+3)
DEM-S&D: 9%
MHP~NI: 7% (-4)
İYİ~RE: 7%
ZP-*: 6%
YRP-*: 6% (+2)
+/- vs. September 2024
Fieldwork: October 2024
Sample size: N/A
➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey
#Romania, INSCOP poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (+1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 19% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14% (-1)
Geoană (*): 13% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+1)
Georgescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 5%
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Birchall (*): 1%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 11-18 October 2024
Fieldwork: 7-12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (+1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 19% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14% (-1)
Geoană (*): 13% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+1)
Georgescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 5%
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 2%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Birchall (*): 1%
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 11-18 October 2024
Fieldwork: 7-12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,100
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
#Switzerland: on 24 November, voters will cast their votes in four ballots on highways, tenancy law and health insurance.
The second LeeWas poll shows a dynamic against three ballots and an open race for the fourth ballot.
+/- vs. 2-3 October 2024
Fieldwork: 6-7 November 2024
Sample size: 11,961
➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland
The second LeeWas poll shows a dynamic against three ballots and an open race for the fourth ballot.
+/- vs. 2-3 October 2024
Fieldwork: 6-7 November 2024
Sample size: 11,961
➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland
#Romania, AtlasIntel poll:
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (+14)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 14%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14% (n.a.)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 10% (+4)
Geoană (*): 9% (-23)
Georgescu (*): 7% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4% (+3)
Birchall (*): 3% (n.a.)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (n.a.)
Orban (FD-→EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Popescu (PNR-*): 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 05-09 April 2024
Fieldwork: 09-12 November 2024
Sample size: 3,035
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
Presidential election
Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 25% (+14)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 14%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14% (n.a.)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 10% (+4)
Geoană (*): 9% (-23)
Georgescu (*): 7% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 4% (+3)
Birchall (*): 3% (n.a.)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (n.a.)
Orban (FD-→EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Popescu (PNR-*): 1% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 05-09 April 2024
Fieldwork: 09-12 November 2024
Sample size: 3,035
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania
#Sweden, Indikator Opinion poll:
S-S&D: 33% (-1)
SD-ECR: 21% (+1)
M-EPP: 18% (-1)
V-LEFT: 9% (+1)
MP-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 26 August - 22 September 2024
Fieldwork: 7-29 October 2024
Sample size: 6,811
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
S-S&D: 33% (-1)
SD-ECR: 21% (+1)
M-EPP: 18% (-1)
V-LEFT: 9% (+1)
MP-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 26 August - 22 September 2024
Fieldwork: 7-29 October 2024
Sample size: 6,811
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
#Sweden, Demoskop poll:
S-S&D: 32%
M-EPP: 20%
SD-ECR: 20% (+1)
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
L-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 22 September - 8 October 2024
Fieldwork: 26 October - 11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,508
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
S-S&D: 32%
M-EPP: 20%
SD-ECR: 20% (+1)
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
L-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 22 September - 8 October 2024
Fieldwork: 26 October - 11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,508
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
#Sweden, Verian poll:
S-S&D: 35% (+2)
M-EPP: 19% (-1)
SD-ECR: 19%
V-LEFT: 8% (-1)
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 23 September - 6 October 2024
Fieldwork: 28 October - 10 November 2024
Sample size: 3,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
S-S&D: 35% (+2)
M-EPP: 19% (-1)
SD-ECR: 19%
V-LEFT: 8% (-1)
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 23 September - 6 October 2024
Fieldwork: 28 October - 10 November 2024
Sample size: 3,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden
#Germany, YouGov poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
BSW-NI: 7% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 4-8 October 2024
Fieldwork: 8-12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,805
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
BSW-NI: 7% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 4-8 October 2024
Fieldwork: 8-12 November 2024
Sample size: 1,805
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany