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Мне кажется, формула всё-таки выглядит так: КС = a+n, где: а — консенсус аналитиков n — ±1 в зависимости от позиции ретроградного Меркурия за сутки перед заседанием
🔮 По нашим оценкам, порядка 13% ослабления рубля было связано с избыточным смягчением денежной политики в 2022

Ставка в 15% соответствует близка к нейтральной/оценке ставки исходя из текущего состояния деловой активности и темпа роста цен, =>, возвращает равновесный курс USDRUB в диапазон 85-90

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🔮 По нашим оценкам, порядка 13% ослабления рубля было связано с избыточным смягчением денежной политики в 2022

Ставка в 15% соответствует близка к нейтральной/оценке ставки исходя из текущего состояния деловой активности и темпа роста цен, =>, возвращает равновесный курс USDRUB в диапазон 85-90

@c0ldness

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There was another possible development: Reuters also reported that Ukraine said that Belarus could soon join the invasion of Ukraine. However, the AFP, citing a Pentagon official, said the U.S. hasn’t yet seen evidence that Belarusian troops are in Ukraine. On December 23rd, 2020, Pavel Durov posted to his channel that the company would need to start generating revenue. In early 2021, he added that any advertising on the platform would not use user data for targeting, and that it would be focused on “large one-to-many channels.” He pledged that ads would be “non-intrusive” and that most users would simply not notice any change. Crude oil prices edged higher after tumbling on Thursday, when U.S. West Texas intermediate slid back below $110 per barrel after topping as much as $130 a barrel in recent sessions. Still, gas prices at the pump rose to fresh highs. At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised. Following this, Sebi, in an order passed in January 2022, established that the administrators of a Telegram channel having a large subscriber base enticed the subscribers to act upon recommendations that were circulated by those administrators on the channel, leading to significant price and volume impact in various scrips.
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