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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

@c0ldness

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"And that set off kind of a battle royale for control of the platform that Durov eventually lost," said Nathalie Maréchal of the Washington advocacy group Ranking Digital Rights. The news also helped traders look past another report showing decades-high inflation and shake off some of the volatility from recent sessions. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' February Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week showed another surge in prices even before Russia escalated its attacks in Ukraine. The headline CPI — soaring 7.9% over last year — underscored the sticky inflationary pressures reverberating across the U.S. economy, with everything from groceries to rents and airline fares getting more expensive for everyday consumers. "Like the bombing of the maternity ward in Mariupol," he said, "Even before it hits the news, you see the videos on the Telegram channels." For example, WhatsApp restricted the number of times a user could forward something, and developed automated systems that detect and flag objectionable content. A Russian Telegram channel with over 700,000 followers is spreading disinformation about Russia's invasion of Ukraine under the guise of providing "objective information" and fact-checking fake news. Its influence extends beyond the platform, with major Russian publications, government officials, and journalists citing the page's posts.
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