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💸 Хроники пикирующего курса

Курс рубля продолжает стремительно обесцениваться к доллару (рынок 111/113) и юаню (почти 15.00), теряя около 10% за последние пять дней, 20% - с начала сентября и почти 25% с летних максимумов.

Мой базовый прогноз предполагал уровни менее 100/USD до конца года, и переход отметки 100 только в 2025. Так же считали и аналитики в любом доступном консенсусе/опросе.

До стабилизации ситуации давать какие-то прогнозы бессмысленно, но общими наблюдениями поделиться можно. Как я смотрю на происходящее?



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💸 Хроники пикирующего курса

Курс рубля продолжает стремительно обесцениваться к доллару (рынок 111/113) и юаню (почти 15.00), теряя около 10% за последние пять дней, 20% - с начала сентября и почти 25% с летних максимумов.

Мой базовый прогноз предполагал уровни менее 100/USD до конца года, и переход отметки 100 только в 2025. Так же считали и аналитики в любом доступном консенсусе/опросе.

До стабилизации ситуации давать какие-то прогнозы бессмысленно, но общими наблюдениями поделиться можно. Как я смотрю на происходящее?

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Telegram | DID YOU KNOW?

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Although some channels have been removed, the curation process is considered opaque and insufficient by analysts. Ukrainian forces successfully attacked Russian vehicles in the capital city of Kyiv thanks to a public tip made through the encrypted messaging app Telegram, Ukraine's top law-enforcement agency said on Tuesday. Telegram has become more interventionist over time, and has steadily increased its efforts to shut down these accounts. But this has also meant that the company has also engaged with lawmakers more generally, although it maintains that it doesn’t do so willingly. For instance, in September 2021, Telegram reportedly blocked a chat bot in support of (Putin critic) Alexei Navalny during Russia’s most recent parliamentary elections. Pavel Durov was quoted at the time saying that the company was obliged to follow a “legitimate” law of the land. He added that as Apple and Google both follow the law, to violate it would give both platforms a reason to boot the messenger from its stores. For example, WhatsApp restricted the number of times a user could forward something, and developed automated systems that detect and flag objectionable content. Russians and Ukrainians are both prolific users of Telegram. They rely on the app for channels that act as newsfeeds, group chats (both public and private), and one-to-one communication. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Telegram has remained an important lifeline for both Russians and Ukrainians, as a way of staying aware of the latest news and keeping in touch with loved ones.
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