Основной риск, который выделяет и регулятор, — это рост доли средств населения на расчетных счетах, которые можно в любой момент потратить на потребление. На сколько Банку России необходимо поднять ключевую ставку, чтобы удержать эти деньги на счетах или вынудить их мигрировать на срочные депозиты или облигационный рынок? Стандартного шага в 0.25 п.п. вполне хватило бы в обычных условиях, но нам нужно сдержать отложенный спрос.
Основной риск, который выделяет и регулятор, — это рост доли средств населения на расчетных счетах, которые можно в любой момент потратить на потребление. На сколько Банку России необходимо поднять ключевую ставку, чтобы удержать эти деньги на счетах или вынудить их мигрировать на срочные депозиты или облигационный рынок? Стандартного шага в 0.25 п.п. вполне хватило бы в обычных условиях, но нам нужно сдержать отложенный спрос.
"We're seeing really dramatic moves, and it's all really tied to Ukraine right now, and in a secondary way, in terms of interest rates," Octavio Marenzi, CEO of Opimas, told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday. "This war in Ukraine is going to give the Fed the ammunition, the cover that it needs, to not raise interest rates too quickly. And I think Jay Powell is a very tepid sort of inflation fighter and he's not going to do as much as he needs to do to get that under control. And this seems like an excuse to kick the can further down the road still and not do too much too soon." Andrey, a Russian entrepreneur living in Brazil who, fearing retaliation, asked that NPR not use his last name, said Telegram has become one of the few places Russians can access independent news about the war. The regulator said it had received information that messages containing stock tips and other investment advice with respect to selected listed companies are being widely circulated through websites and social media platforms such as Telegram, Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. But the Ukraine Crisis Media Center's Tsekhanovska points out that communications are often down in zones most affected by the war, making this sort of cross-referencing a luxury many cannot afford. Right now the digital security needs of Russians and Ukrainians are very different, and they lead to very different caveats about how to mitigate the risks associated with using Telegram. For Ukrainians in Ukraine, whose physical safety is at risk because they are in a war zone, digital security is probably not their highest priority. They may value access to news and communication with their loved ones over making sure that all of their communications are encrypted in such a manner that they are indecipherable to Telegram, its employees, or governments with court orders.
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