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В целом, поддерживаем позицию Миши Бьюрри по вопросам «Sell» & «This time is different».

На картинке изображены ставки по федеральным фондам (белым, правая шкала) и обвал индекса SP500 (желтым) на 42% в 2001-2002 годах. Есть такое золотое правило — американские рынки всерьез не падают, пока ФРС не начинает снижать процентные ставки = признание реального сокращения экономики. Это как с рецессией, которую объявляют постфактум, эдак через 9-12 месяцев.

А вы шортите вместе с Бьюрри?

@MarketHeart



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В целом, поддерживаем позицию Миши Бьюрри по вопросам «Sell» & «This time is different».

На картинке изображены ставки по федеральным фондам (белым, правая шкала) и обвал индекса SP500 (желтым) на 42% в 2001-2002 годах. Есть такое золотое правило — американские рынки всерьез не падают, пока ФРС не начинает снижать процентные ставки = признание реального сокращения экономики. Это как с рецессией, которую объявляют постфактум, эдак через 9-12 месяцев.

А вы шортите вместе с Бьюрри?

@MarketHeart

BY Собачье сердце капитализма


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Oh no. There’s a certain degree of myth-making around what exactly went on, so take everything that follows lightly. Telegram was originally launched as a side project by the Durov brothers, with Nikolai handling the coding and Pavel as CEO, while both were at VK. In a message on his Telegram channel recently recounting the episode, Durov wrote: "I lost my company and my home, but would do it again – without hesitation." You may recall that, back when Facebook started changing WhatsApp’s terms of service, a number of news outlets reported on, and even recommended, switching to Telegram. Pavel Durov even said that users should delete WhatsApp “unless you are cool with all of your photos and messages becoming public one day.” But Telegram can’t be described as a more-secure version of WhatsApp. Since January 2022, the SC has received a total of 47 complaints and enquiries on illegal investment schemes promoted through Telegram. These fraudulent schemes offer non-existent investment opportunities, promising very attractive and risk-free returns within a short span of time. They commonly offer unrealistic returns of as high as 1,000% within 24 hours or even within a few hours. In 2014, Pavel Durov fled the country after allies of the Kremlin took control of the social networking site most know just as VK. Russia's intelligence agency had asked Durov to turn over the data of anti-Kremlin protesters. Durov refused to do so.
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