🌞 Не-финансовый частный ВВП в 3кв23 растет на 7.4% г/г
• Пром.производство (ОПК) и рост оптовой торговли дают примерно равный вклад в рост - порядка 3 пп
• Розница и стройка по порядка 1.пп роста в общую цифры
🔮 Пересмотры цифр по росту вверх на 2023 должны происходить вместе со снижением оценок на 2024 - повышение ключевой ставки до 15% охладит рост цен, но повысит риск рецессии в следующие 6 мес. выше 70%
🌞 Не-финансовый частный ВВП в 3кв23 растет на 7.4% г/г
• Пром.производство (ОПК) и рост оптовой торговли дают примерно равный вклад в рост - порядка 3 пп
• Розница и стройка по порядка 1.пп роста в общую цифры
🔮 Пересмотры цифр по росту вверх на 2023 должны происходить вместе со снижением оценок на 2024 - повышение ключевой ставки до 15% охладит рост цен, но повысит риск рецессии в следующие 6 мес. выше 70%
Groups are also not fully encrypted, end-to-end. This includes private groups. Private groups cannot be seen by other Telegram users, but Telegram itself can see the groups and all of the communications that you have in them. All of the same risks and warnings about channels can be applied to groups. On February 27th, Durov posted that Channels were becoming a source of unverified information and that the company lacks the ability to check on their veracity. He urged users to be mistrustful of the things shared on Channels, and initially threatened to block the feature in the countries involved for the length of the war, saying that he didn’t want Telegram to be used to aggravate conflict or incite ethnic hatred. He did, however, walk back this plan when it became clear that they had also become a vital communications tool for Ukrainian officials and citizens to help coordinate their resistance and evacuations. The picture was mixed overseas. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.6%, under pressure from U.S. regulatory scrutiny on New York-listed Chinese companies. Stocks were more buoyant in Europe, where Frankfurt’s DAX surged 1.4%. In addition, Telegram now supports the use of third-party streaming tools like OBS Studio and XSplit to broadcast live video, allowing users to add overlays and multi-screen layouts for a more professional look. At its heart, Telegram is little more than a messaging app like WhatsApp or Signal. But it also offers open channels that enable a single user, or a group of users, to communicate with large numbers in a method similar to a Twitter account. This has proven to be both a blessing and a curse for Telegram and its users, since these channels can be used for both good and ill. Right now, as Wired reports, the app is a key way for Ukrainians to receive updates from the government during the invasion.
from jp
