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BREAKING: Prediction market odds of a recession hitting in 2025 have fallen to a new low of 27%.

Since November 1st, odds of a recession beginning in 2025 have HALVED, from 54% to 27%, according to @Kalshi.

Meanwhile, GDP growth estimates are rising with ~3% GDP growth expected in Q4 2024.

As inflation rebounds and the Fed cuts rates, markets are pricing-in a lower probability of a recession.

Are rate hikes coming back?
(@TheKobeissiLetter)



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BREAKING: Prediction market odds of a recession hitting in 2025 have fallen to a new low of 27%.

Since November 1st, odds of a recession beginning in 2025 have HALVED, from 54% to 27%, according to @Kalshi.

Meanwhile, GDP growth estimates are rising with ~3% GDP growth expected in Q4 2024.

As inflation rebounds and the Fed cuts rates, markets are pricing-in a lower probability of a recession.

Are rate hikes coming back?
(@TheKobeissiLetter)

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Telegram was founded in 2013 by two Russian brothers, Nikolai and Pavel Durov. The company maintains that it cannot act against individual or group chats, which are “private amongst their participants,” but it will respond to requests in relation to sticker sets, channels and bots which are publicly available. During the invasion of Ukraine, Pavel Durov has wrestled with this issue a lot more prominently than he has before. Channels like Donbass Insider and Bellum Acta, as reported by Foreign Policy, started pumping out pro-Russian propaganda as the invasion began. So much so that the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council issued a statement labeling which accounts are Russian-backed. Ukrainian officials, in potential violation of the Geneva Convention, have shared imagery of dead and captured Russian soldiers on the platform. The picture was mixed overseas. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.6%, under pressure from U.S. regulatory scrutiny on New York-listed Chinese companies. Stocks were more buoyant in Europe, where Frankfurt’s DAX surged 1.4%. Telegram users are able to send files of any type up to 2GB each and access them from any device, with no limit on cloud storage, which has made downloading files more popular on the platform. Russian President Vladimir Putin launched Russia's invasion of Ukraine in the early-morning hours of February 24, targeting several key cities with military strikes.
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