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Годовые числа – всегда запаздывающий индикатор

👆На графиках показываем секторальный ВВП в уровнях с поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы

• По нашим оценкам, текущие темпы ВВП в 2к24 замедлились примерно вдвое в сравнении с 1к24 – до 2% SAAR*

• Это замедление в большой степени могло быть связано с факторами со стороны предложения, а не спроса – дефицитом рабочей силы, проблемами с логистикой и расчетами, сделкой ОПЕК+

* С поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы в пересчете на год

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6.2K viewsSep 13 at 19:22

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Create: 2024-09-13
Last Update: 2024-11-13 20:38:14

Годовые числа – всегда запаздывающий индикатор

👆На графиках показываем секторальный ВВП в уровнях с поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы

• По нашим оценкам, текущие темпы ВВП в 2к24 замедлились примерно вдвое в сравнении с 1к24 – до 2% SAAR*

• Это замедление в большой степени могло быть связано с факторами со стороны предложения, а не спроса – дефицитом рабочей силы, проблемами с логистикой и расчетами, сделкой ОПЕК+

* С поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы в пересчете на год

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Date: 2024-11-13|

Stocks dropped on Friday afternoon, as gains made earlier in the day on hopes for diplomatic progress between Russia and Ukraine turned to losses. Technology stocks were hit particularly hard by higher bond yields. The company maintains that it cannot act against individual or group chats, which are “private amongst their participants,” but it will respond to requests in relation to sticker sets, channels and bots which are publicly available. During the invasion of Ukraine, Pavel Durov has wrestled with this issue a lot more prominently than he has before. Channels like Donbass Insider and Bellum Acta, as reported by Foreign Policy, started pumping out pro-Russian propaganda as the invasion began. So much so that the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council issued a statement labeling which accounts are Russian-backed. Ukrainian officials, in potential violation of the Geneva Convention, have shared imagery of dead and captured Russian soldiers on the platform. Such instructions could actually endanger people — citizens receive air strike warnings via smartphone alerts. Telegram has gained a reputation as the “secure” communications app in the post-Soviet states, but whenever you make choices about your digital security, it’s important to start by asking yourself, “What exactly am I securing? And who am I securing it from?” These questions should inform your decisions about whether you are using the right tool or platform for your digital security needs. Telegram is certainly not the most secure messaging app on the market right now. Its security model requires users to place a great deal of trust in Telegram’s ability to protect user data. For some users, this may be good enough for now. For others, it may be wiser to move to a different platform for certain kinds of high-risk communications. You may recall that, back when Facebook started changing WhatsApp’s terms of service, a number of news outlets reported on, and even recommended, switching to Telegram. Pavel Durov even said that users should delete WhatsApp “unless you are cool with all of your photos and messages becoming public one day.” But Telegram can’t be described as a more-secure version of WhatsApp.
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