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Твердые цифры

ВВП vs. ДКП

• Как обычно, напоминаем читателям, что годовой рост – всегда запаздывающий индикатор, а корректнее оперировать сезонно скорректированными величинами

• В сентябре выпуск базовых секторов отклонился вверх от трендового значения

• Выделялись потребительский спрос – особенно в непродовольственной рознице, обрабатывающие производства, оптовая торговля

• В отстающих – добыча и стройка

💡Разрыв выпуска базовых секторов, по нашим оценкам, в сентябре составил ~1% (тренд рассчитан HP-фильтром)

👆Графики в уровнях прилагаются

* Значение в % на графиках = средний рост тренда, рассчитанного HP-фильтром, с 2015 года

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Create: 2024-10-30
Last Update: 2024-11-14 12:58:59

ВВП vs. ДКП

• Как обычно, напоминаем читателям, что годовой рост – всегда запаздывающий индикатор, а корректнее оперировать сезонно скорректированными величинами

• В сентябре выпуск базовых секторов отклонился вверх от трендового значения

• Выделялись потребительский спрос – особенно в непродовольственной рознице, обрабатывающие производства, оптовая торговля

• В отстающих – добыча и стройка

💡Разрыв выпуска базовых секторов, по нашим оценкам, в сентябре составил ~1% (тренд рассчитан HP-фильтром)

👆Графики в уровнях прилагаются

* Значение в % на графиках = средний рост тренда, рассчитанного HP-фильтром, с 2015 года

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Date: 2024-11-14|

"Markets were cheering this economic recovery and return to strong economic growth, but the cheers will turn to tears if the inflation outbreak pushes businesses and consumers to the brink of recession," he added. Under the Sebi Act, the regulator has the power to carry out search and seizure of books, registers, documents including electronics and digital devices from any person associated with the securities market. The War on Fakes channel has repeatedly attempted to push conspiracies that footage from Ukraine is somehow being falsified. One post on the channel from February 24 claimed without evidence that a widely viewed photo of a Ukrainian woman injured in an airstrike in the city of Chuhuiv was doctored and that the woman was seen in a different photo days later without injuries. The post, which has over 600,000 views, also baselessly claimed that the woman's blood was actually makeup or grape juice. The company maintains that it cannot act against individual or group chats, which are “private amongst their participants,” but it will respond to requests in relation to sticker sets, channels and bots which are publicly available. During the invasion of Ukraine, Pavel Durov has wrestled with this issue a lot more prominently than he has before. Channels like Donbass Insider and Bellum Acta, as reported by Foreign Policy, started pumping out pro-Russian propaganda as the invasion began. So much so that the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council issued a statement labeling which accounts are Russian-backed. Ukrainian officials, in potential violation of the Geneva Convention, have shared imagery of dead and captured Russian soldiers on the platform. Since its launch in 2013, Telegram has grown from a simple messaging app to a broadcast network. Its user base isn’t as vast as WhatsApp’s, and its broadcast platform is a fraction the size of Twitter, but it’s nonetheless showing its use. While Telegram has been embroiled in controversy for much of its life, it has become a vital source of communication during the invasion of Ukraine. But, if all of this is new to you, let us explain, dear friends, what on Earth a Telegram is meant to be, and why you should, or should not, need to care.
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