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Бразилия на грани финансового кризиса.

В стране произошло резкое повышение ставки, местный ЦБ пытался поддержать местную валюту и предотвратить разгон инфляции. Бразильский реал упал по отношению к доллару, -21% с начала года.

Главный риск - раздутый бюджетный дефицит (9,5%) при огромном госдолге (80% от ВВП) будет дальше усугубляться. Процентные расходы почти утроятся и составят 12% ВВП или треть от всех доходов бюджета. Доходность гособлигаций превысила 15% годовых – максимум с 2015 года. Стоимость страховки от дефолта выросла до годового максимума. Страна рискует погрузиться в полноценный кризис несмотря на положительный торговый баланс.

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Бразилия на грани финансового кризиса.

В стране произошло резкое повышение ставки, местный ЦБ пытался поддержать местную валюту и предотвратить разгон инфляции. Бразильский реал упал по отношению к доллару, -21% с начала года.

Главный риск - раздутый бюджетный дефицит (9,5%) при огромном госдолге (80% от ВВП) будет дальше усугубляться. Процентные расходы почти утроятся и составят 12% ВВП или треть от всех доходов бюджета. Доходность гособлигаций превысила 15% годовых – максимум с 2015 года. Стоимость страховки от дефолта выросла до годового максимума. Страна рискует погрузиться в полноценный кризис несмотря на положительный торговый баланс.

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BY Многонационал. Экономика




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Additionally, investors are often instructed to deposit monies into personal bank accounts of individuals who claim to represent a legitimate entity, and/or into an unrelated corporate account. To lend credence and to lure unsuspecting victims, perpetrators usually claim that their entity and/or the investment schemes are approved by financial authorities. "Markets were cheering this economic recovery and return to strong economic growth, but the cheers will turn to tears if the inflation outbreak pushes businesses and consumers to the brink of recession," he added. The company maintains that it cannot act against individual or group chats, which are “private amongst their participants,” but it will respond to requests in relation to sticker sets, channels and bots which are publicly available. During the invasion of Ukraine, Pavel Durov has wrestled with this issue a lot more prominently than he has before. Channels like Donbass Insider and Bellum Acta, as reported by Foreign Policy, started pumping out pro-Russian propaganda as the invasion began. So much so that the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council issued a statement labeling which accounts are Russian-backed. Ukrainian officials, in potential violation of the Geneva Convention, have shared imagery of dead and captured Russian soldiers on the platform. Right now the digital security needs of Russians and Ukrainians are very different, and they lead to very different caveats about how to mitigate the risks associated with using Telegram. For Ukrainians in Ukraine, whose physical safety is at risk because they are in a war zone, digital security is probably not their highest priority. They may value access to news and communication with their loved ones over making sure that all of their communications are encrypted in such a manner that they are indecipherable to Telegram, its employees, or governments with court orders. In 2014, Pavel Durov fled the country after allies of the Kremlin took control of the social networking site most know just as VK. Russia's intelligence agency had asked Durov to turn over the data of anti-Kremlin protesters. Durov refused to do so.
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