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Годовые числа – всегда запаздывающий индикатор

👆На графиках показываем секторальный ВВП в уровнях с поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы

• По нашим оценкам, текущие темпы ВВП в 2к24 замедлились примерно вдвое в сравнении с 1к24 – до 2% SAAR*

• Это замедление в большой степени могло быть связано с факторами со стороны предложения, а не спроса – дефицитом рабочей силы, проблемами с логистикой и расчетами, сделкой ОПЕК+

* С поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы в пересчете на год

@xtxixty



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Годовые числа – всегда запаздывающий индикатор

👆На графиках показываем секторальный ВВП в уровнях с поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы

• По нашим оценкам, текущие темпы ВВП в 2к24 замедлились примерно вдвое в сравнении с 1к24 – до 2% SAAR*

• Это замедление в большой степени могло быть связано с факторами со стороны предложения, а не спроса – дефицитом рабочей силы, проблемами с логистикой и расчетами, сделкой ОПЕК+

* С поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы в пересчете на год

@xtxixty

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Telegram | DID YOU KNOW?

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The SC urges the public to refer to the SC’s I nvestor Alert List before investing. The list contains details of unauthorised websites, investment products, companies and individuals. Members of the public who suspect that they have been approached by unauthorised firms or individuals offering schemes that promise unrealistic returns On Telegram’s website, it says that Pavel Durov “supports Telegram financially and ideologically while Nikolai (Duvov)’s input is technological.” Currently, the Telegram team is based in Dubai, having moved around from Berlin, London and Singapore after departing Russia. Meanwhile, the company which owns Telegram is registered in the British Virgin Islands. Given the pro-privacy stance of the platform, it’s taken as a given that it’ll be used for a number of reasons, not all of them good. And Telegram has been attached to a fair few scandals related to terrorism, sexual exploitation and crime. Back in 2015, Vox described Telegram as “ISIS’ app of choice,” saying that the platform’s real use is the ability to use channels to distribute material to large groups at once. Telegram has acted to remove public channels affiliated with terrorism, but Pavel Durov reiterated that he had no business snooping on private conversations. Telegram has gained a reputation as the “secure” communications app in the post-Soviet states, but whenever you make choices about your digital security, it’s important to start by asking yourself, “What exactly am I securing? And who am I securing it from?” These questions should inform your decisions about whether you are using the right tool or platform for your digital security needs. Telegram is certainly not the most secure messaging app on the market right now. Its security model requires users to place a great deal of trust in Telegram’s ability to protect user data. For some users, this may be good enough for now. For others, it may be wiser to move to a different platform for certain kinds of high-risk communications. In the past, it was noticed that through bulk SMSes, investors were induced to invest in or purchase the stocks of certain listed companies.
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