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Годовые числа – всегда запаздывающий индикатор

👆На графиках показываем секторальный ВВП в уровнях с поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы

• По нашим оценкам, текущие темпы ВВП в 2к24 замедлились примерно вдвое в сравнении с 1к24 – до 2% SAAR*

• Это замедление в большой степени могло быть связано с факторами со стороны предложения, а не спроса – дефицитом рабочей силы, проблемами с логистикой и расчетами, сделкой ОПЕК+

* С поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы в пересчете на год

@xtxixty



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Годовые числа – всегда запаздывающий индикатор

👆На графиках показываем секторальный ВВП в уровнях с поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы

• По нашим оценкам, текущие темпы ВВП в 2к24 замедлились примерно вдвое в сравнении с 1к24 – до 2% SAAR*

• Это замедление в большой степени могло быть связано с факторами со стороны предложения, а не спроса – дефицитом рабочей силы, проблемами с логистикой и расчетами, сделкой ОПЕК+

* С поправкой на сезонный и календарный факторы в пересчете на год

@xtxixty

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Telegram | DID YOU KNOW?

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Since January 2022, the SC has received a total of 47 complaints and enquiries on illegal investment schemes promoted through Telegram. These fraudulent schemes offer non-existent investment opportunities, promising very attractive and risk-free returns within a short span of time. They commonly offer unrealistic returns of as high as 1,000% within 24 hours or even within a few hours. Telegram Messenger Blocks Navalny Bot During Russian Election The regulator said it had received information that messages containing stock tips and other investment advice with respect to selected listed companies are being widely circulated through websites and social media platforms such as Telegram, Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. The War on Fakes channel has repeatedly attempted to push conspiracies that footage from Ukraine is somehow being falsified. One post on the channel from February 24 claimed without evidence that a widely viewed photo of a Ukrainian woman injured in an airstrike in the city of Chuhuiv was doctored and that the woman was seen in a different photo days later without injuries. The post, which has over 600,000 views, also baselessly claimed that the woman's blood was actually makeup or grape juice. Oleksandra Matviichuk, a Kyiv-based lawyer and head of the Center for Civil Liberties, called Durov’s position "very weak," and urged concrete improvements.
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