The current situation looks like the final shakeout before the rally.

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Negotiations over a U.S.-Ukraine rare earth minerals deal collapsed after an Oval Office confrontation between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump accused Zelenskyy of disrespecting the U.S., while VP JD Vance criticized his lack of gratitude. Zelenskyy left without signing the agreement, which he had hoped would include U.S. security guarantees. The deal remains on hold, with no clear timeline for resolution.

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Microsoft is permanently shutting down Skype in May 2025.

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Be a sniper, not a machine gunner.

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The BTC price closely tracks Global M2, showing a strong correlation. Recent M2 rebound suggests BTC could follow, reinforcing the liquidity-driven cycle.

Volatility remains the cost of long-term gains.

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U.S. Treasury Bonds post biggest monthly gain since July

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At 94 years old, Warren Buffett is nearing retirement, with Greg Abel set to take over as CEO. Buffett has built up a massive $334B cash reserve to give Abel a strong start and placed his $150B stake in a trust to protect Berkshire from activist investors. The transition could be announced as early as May.

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315 days after halving

Current: $84,243.78
2012 scaled: $651,157.48
2016 scaled: $200,314.43
2020 scaled: $404,941.81

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2-Year Treasury Yield drops below 4% for the first time since October.
The last time the 2-Year Yield jumped above 5% and then dropped below 4% foreshadowed the Global Financial Crisis.

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The U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Canada to follow Mexico in matching tariffs on Chinese imports, as the deadline for 25% U.S. tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods approaches. The move is aimed at curbing fentanyl trafficking and reinforcing "Fortress North America" against Chinese exports. Meanwhile, China condemned the unilateral tariffs as a violation of WTO rules. The deadline coincides with China's annual parliamentary meetings, raising tensions between Washington and Beijing.

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What is the first word you see?

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Elon Musk supports the idea of the United States leaving NATO.

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BTC In the last 24 hours, 79.3K BTC were sold on exchanges at a loss. This is the biggest Bitcoin sell-off of 2025.

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Whales have bought over 910 million DOGE in the last 48 hours.

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If you're one of the green guys at the bottom, you should know you're still early.

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Trump: A U.S. Crypto Reserve will elevate this critical industry after years of corrupt attacks by the Biden Administration, which is why my Executive Order on Digital Assets directed the Presidential Working Group to move forward on a Crypto Strategic Reserve that includes XRP, SOL, and ADA. I will make sure the U.S. is the Crypto Capital of the World. We are MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!

Bitcoin not mentioned.

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One of the rarest CryptoPunks, #4464, has been sold for 1,101 ETH (~$2.2M)

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BTC and ETH too.

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Crypto Czar David Sacks: President Trump has announced a Crypto Strategic Reserve consisting of Bitcoin and other top cryptocurrencies. This is consistent with his week-one E.O. 14178. President Trump is keeping his promise to make the U.S. the “Crypto Capital of the World.” More to come at the Crypto Summit.

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The trader who opened long positions on $BTC and $ETH with 50x leverage before Trump’s crypto reserve announcement has now opened a long position on $YGG with 3x leverage.

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