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Мне кажется, формула всё-таки выглядит так: КС = a+n, где: а — консенсус аналитиков n — ±1 в зависимости от позиции ретроградного Меркурия за сутки перед заседанием
🔮 По нашим оценкам, порядка 13% ослабления рубля было связано с избыточным смягчением денежной политики в 2022

Ставка в 15% соответствует близка к нейтральной/оценке ставки исходя из текущего состояния деловой активности и темпа роста цен, =>, возвращает равновесный курс USDRUB в диапазон 85-90

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🔮 По нашим оценкам, порядка 13% ослабления рубля было связано с избыточным смягчением денежной политики в 2022

Ставка в 15% соответствует близка к нейтральной/оценке ставки исходя из текущего состояния деловой активности и темпа роста цен, =>, возвращает равновесный курс USDRUB в диапазон 85-90

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READ MORE Multiple pro-Kremlin media figures circulated the post's false claims, including prominent Russian journalist Vladimir Soloviev and the state-controlled Russian outlet RT, according to the DFR Lab's report. He said that since his platform does not have the capacity to check all channels, it may restrict some in Russia and Ukraine "for the duration of the conflict," but then reversed course hours later after many users complained that Telegram was an important source of information. The next bit isn’t clear, but Durov reportedly claimed that his resignation, dated March 21st, was an April Fools’ prank. TechCrunch implies that it was a matter of principle, but it’s hard to be clear on the wheres, whos and whys. Similarly, on April 17th, the Moscow Times quoted Durov as saying that he quit the company after being pressured to reveal account details about Ukrainians protesting the then-president Viktor Yanukovych. The channel appears to be part of the broader information war that has developed following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Kremlin has paid Russian TikTok influencers to push propaganda, according to a Vice News investigation, while ProPublica found that fake Russian fact check videos had been viewed over a million times on Telegram.
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