Кризис, прогнозы, мы «падаем» или просто привыкли к «бычьему рынку»?
Так называлась моя презентация на «Движении». Многие просили ее отправить — отправляю.
Внутри — разбор более ранних прогнозов на 2024 год, их актуализация и прогнозы уже на 2025-2026 годы. Затрагиваю регулирование рынка, цены, роль агентов, поддержку государства и не только.
Если хотите обсудить эти прогнозы или предложить свои — приходите в комментарии. Буду рад подискутировать.
Кризис, прогнозы, мы «падаем» или просто привыкли к «бычьему рынку»?
Так называлась моя презентация на «Движении». Многие просили ее отправить — отправляю.
Внутри — разбор более ранних прогнозов на 2024 год, их актуализация и прогнозы уже на 2025-2026 годы. Затрагиваю регулирование рынка, цены, роль агентов, поддержку государства и не только.
Если хотите обсудить эти прогнозы или предложить свои — приходите в комментарии. Буду рад подискутировать.
BY Дмитрий Волков +
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Right now the digital security needs of Russians and Ukrainians are very different, and they lead to very different caveats about how to mitigate the risks associated with using Telegram. For Ukrainians in Ukraine, whose physical safety is at risk because they are in a war zone, digital security is probably not their highest priority. They may value access to news and communication with their loved ones over making sure that all of their communications are encrypted in such a manner that they are indecipherable to Telegram, its employees, or governments with court orders. One thing that Telegram now offers to all users is the ability to “disappear” messages or set remote deletion deadlines. That enables users to have much more control over how long people can access what you’re sending them. Given that Russian law enforcement officials are reportedly (via Insider) stopping people in the street and demanding to read their text messages, this could be vital to protect individuals from reprisals. On Telegram’s website, it says that Pavel Durov “supports Telegram financially and ideologically while Nikolai (Duvov)’s input is technological.” Currently, the Telegram team is based in Dubai, having moved around from Berlin, London and Singapore after departing Russia. Meanwhile, the company which owns Telegram is registered in the British Virgin Islands. Given the pro-privacy stance of the platform, it’s taken as a given that it’ll be used for a number of reasons, not all of them good. And Telegram has been attached to a fair few scandals related to terrorism, sexual exploitation and crime. Back in 2015, Vox described Telegram as “ISIS’ app of choice,” saying that the platform’s real use is the ability to use channels to distribute material to large groups at once. Telegram has acted to remove public channels affiliated with terrorism, but Pavel Durov reiterated that he had no business snooping on private conversations. At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised.
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