Telegram Group & Telegram Channel
Проекция роста гос. долга США от Бюджетного управления Конгресса (CBO) на 2020-2050

«Долг достигнет 107% от ВВП к 2031 году и продолжит расти. Этот сценарий предполагает отсутствие войн, рецессий и сохранения низких процентных ставок»

Насколько успешен был предыдущий прогноз?

В 2010-2020 годах долг вырос на 71% выше ожиданий. За тот же период ВВП недобрал 28% запланированного роста.

Экстраполируем на следующие 10 лет и получим корректировку официальных цифр до ~150% долга к ВВП к 2031 г. и 388% к 2050 г.



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Проекция роста гос. долга США от Бюджетного управления Конгресса (CBO) на 2020-2050

«Долг достигнет 107% от ВВП к 2031 году и продолжит расти. Этот сценарий предполагает отсутствие войн, рецессий и сохранения низких процентных ставок»

Насколько успешен был предыдущий прогноз?

В 2010-2020 годах долг вырос на 71% выше ожиданий. За тот же период ВВП недобрал 28% запланированного роста.

Экстраполируем на следующие 10 лет и получим корректировку официальных цифр до ~150% долга к ВВП к 2031 г. и 388% к 2050 г.

BY Собачье сердце капитализма




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The channel appears to be part of the broader information war that has developed following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Kremlin has paid Russian TikTok influencers to push propaganda, according to a Vice News investigation, while ProPublica found that fake Russian fact check videos had been viewed over a million times on Telegram. Investors took profits on Friday while they could ahead of the weekend, explained Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Saturday and Sunday could easily bring unfortunate news on the war front—and traders would rather be able to sell any recent winnings at Friday’s earlier prices than wait for a potentially lower price at Monday’s open. Right now the digital security needs of Russians and Ukrainians are very different, and they lead to very different caveats about how to mitigate the risks associated with using Telegram. For Ukrainians in Ukraine, whose physical safety is at risk because they are in a war zone, digital security is probably not their highest priority. They may value access to news and communication with their loved ones over making sure that all of their communications are encrypted in such a manner that they are indecipherable to Telegram, its employees, or governments with court orders. Emerson Brooking, a disinformation expert at the Atlantic Council's Digital Forensic Research Lab, said: "Back in the Wild West period of content moderation, like 2014 or 2015, maybe they could have gotten away with it, but it stands in marked contrast with how other companies run themselves today." Official government accounts have also spread fake fact checks. An official Twitter account for the Russia diplomatic mission in Geneva shared a fake debunking video claiming without evidence that "Western and Ukrainian media are creating thousands of fake news on Russia every day." The video, which has amassed almost 30,000 views, offered a "how-to" spot misinformation.
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