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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

@c0ldness

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Soloviev also promoted the channel in a post he shared on his own Telegram, which has 580,000 followers. The post recommended his viewers subscribe to "War on Fakes" in a time of fake news. Apparently upbeat developments in Russia's discussions with Ukraine helped at least temporarily send investors back into risk assets. Russian President Vladimir Putin said during a meeting with his Belarusian counterpart Alexander Lukashenko that there were "certain positive developments" occurring in the talks with Ukraine, according to a transcript of their meeting. Putin added that discussions were happening "almost on a daily basis." Two days after Russia invaded Ukraine, an account on the Telegram messaging platform posing as President Volodymyr Zelenskiy urged his armed forces to surrender. Multiple pro-Kremlin media figures circulated the post's false claims, including prominent Russian journalist Vladimir Soloviev and the state-controlled Russian outlet RT, according to the DFR Lab's report. "There is a significant risk of insider threat or hacking of Telegram systems that could expose all of these chats to the Russian government," said Eva Galperin with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, which has called for Telegram to improve its privacy practices.
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