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Forwarded from Ukraine War Analysis
The war began 3 years ago at this very hour. I think if you could go back and show people these maps of 2022 and 2025, no one would believe you. Not the Russians, not the Ukrainians, not the Americans, not anyone.

The famous line "three days to Kiev" is often falsely attributed to the Russians but was in fact spoken by an American general. No one thought Ukraine would survive the first few weeks. I don't think even Zelensky did, as he famously handed out weaponry to civilians for a last ditch defense of the city. But here we are three years later.

The one thing I can say is that there is a light at the end of the tunnel, the war is coming towards an end. Whether it will be a lasting peace or a temporary ceasefire remains to be seen.

There is still a lot to be worked out in the negotiations and the position of the parties are too far apart for this to end quickly. In my opinion the fighting will continue until early 2026.



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The war began 3 years ago at this very hour. I think if you could go back and show people these maps of 2022 and 2025, no one would believe you. Not the Russians, not the Ukrainians, not the Americans, not anyone.

The famous line "three days to Kiev" is often falsely attributed to the Russians but was in fact spoken by an American general. No one thought Ukraine would survive the first few weeks. I don't think even Zelensky did, as he famously handed out weaponry to civilians for a last ditch defense of the city. But here we are three years later.

The one thing I can say is that there is a light at the end of the tunnel, the war is coming towards an end. Whether it will be a lasting peace or a temporary ceasefire remains to be seen.

There is still a lot to be worked out in the negotiations and the position of the parties are too far apart for this to end quickly. In my opinion the fighting will continue until early 2026.

BY Full❄️Haus




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"There is a significant risk of insider threat or hacking of Telegram systems that could expose all of these chats to the Russian government," said Eva Galperin with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, which has called for Telegram to improve its privacy practices. That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future. "Your messages about the movement of the enemy through the official chatbot … bring new trophies every day," the government agency tweeted. Andrey, a Russian entrepreneur living in Brazil who, fearing retaliation, asked that NPR not use his last name, said Telegram has become one of the few places Russians can access independent news about the war. After fleeing Russia, the brothers founded Telegram as a way to communicate outside the Kremlin's orbit. They now run it from Dubai, and Pavel Durov says it has more than 500 million monthly active users.
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