Ключевая ставка останется на уровне не ниже 21% еще долгое время, сообщили в Центробанке. Именно такой уровень должен обеспечить регулятору таргет по инфляции в 4% (сейчас она сильно выше 10%). При этом не исключено, что ЦБ может пойти на повышение ставки, если вновь увидит предпосылки к "перегреву" экономики.
Впрочем, шансы на это снижаются, т.к. правительство, наоборот, уже заявляет о рисках "переохлаждения". Хватит ли текущего уровня ключевой ставки для сдерживания роста цен - покажет второй квартал 2025 года. Если не будет санкционных послаблений, то вряд ли.
Ключевая ставка останется на уровне не ниже 21% еще долгое время, сообщили в Центробанке. Именно такой уровень должен обеспечить регулятору таргет по инфляции в 4% (сейчас она сильно выше 10%). При этом не исключено, что ЦБ может пойти на повышение ставки, если вновь увидит предпосылки к "перегреву" экономики.
Впрочем, шансы на это снижаются, т.к. правительство, наоборот, уже заявляет о рисках "переохлаждения". Хватит ли текущего уровня ключевой ставки для сдерживания роста цен - покажет второй квартал 2025 года. Если не будет санкционных послаблений, то вряд ли.
BY Временное правительство 2.0
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"We're seeing really dramatic moves, and it's all really tied to Ukraine right now, and in a secondary way, in terms of interest rates," Octavio Marenzi, CEO of Opimas, told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday. "This war in Ukraine is going to give the Fed the ammunition, the cover that it needs, to not raise interest rates too quickly. And I think Jay Powell is a very tepid sort of inflation fighter and he's not going to do as much as he needs to do to get that under control. And this seems like an excuse to kick the can further down the road still and not do too much too soon." These administrators had built substantial positions in these scrips prior to the circulation of recommendations and offloaded their positions subsequent to rise in price of these scrips, making significant profits at the expense of unsuspecting investors, Sebi noted. The regulator said it had received information that messages containing stock tips and other investment advice with respect to selected listed companies are being widely circulated through websites and social media platforms such as Telegram, Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. Given the pro-privacy stance of the platform, it’s taken as a given that it’ll be used for a number of reasons, not all of them good. And Telegram has been attached to a fair few scandals related to terrorism, sexual exploitation and crime. Back in 2015, Vox described Telegram as “ISIS’ app of choice,” saying that the platform’s real use is the ability to use channels to distribute material to large groups at once. Telegram has acted to remove public channels affiliated with terrorism, but Pavel Durov reiterated that he had no business snooping on private conversations. "The inflation fire was already hot and now with war-driven inflation added to the mix, it will grow even hotter, setting off a scramble by the world’s central banks to pull back their stimulus earlier than expected," Chris Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS, wrote in an email. "A spike in inflation rates has preceded economic recessions historically and this time prices have soared to levels that once again pose a threat to growth."
from sg