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🌲 Π§Ρ‚ΠΎ ΠΆΠ΄Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ российской экономикС ΠΎΡ‚ 2025 Π³ΠΎΠ΄Π°?
Об этом Π½Π° ΠΏΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠ³Π΅ Нового Π³ΠΎΠ΄Π° EMCR News спросил Π³Π»Π°Π²Π½Ρ‹Ρ… экспСртов ΠΌΠ°ΠΊΡ€ΠΎΡ‚Π΅Π»Π΅Π³Ρ€Π°ΠΌΠ°.

Автор Π’Π“-ΠΊΠ°Π½Π°Π»Π° @Truevalue Π’ΠΈΠΊΡ‚ΠΎΡ€ Π’ΡƒΠ½Π΅Π²:

Π’Ρ‚ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠΉ Π³ΠΎΠ΄ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ Π·Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎΠΌ свСрхвысоких Π² Ρ€Π΅Π°Π»ΡŒΠ½ΠΎΠΌ Π²Ρ‹Ρ€Π°ΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΈ ставок ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Ρ‚ ΡΡ‚Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ Ρ€Π΅ΡˆΠ°ΡŽΡ‰ΠΈΠΌ. И здСсь Ρ€Π°Π·Π²ΠΈΠ»ΠΊΠ° Π½Π΅ самая Ρ…ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΡˆΠ°Ρ для ΠΏΡ€Π΅ΠΆΠ½Π΅ΠΉ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡ‚ΠΈΠΊΠΈ Π‘Π°Π½ΠΊΠ° России:

β€” Π›ΠΈΠ±ΠΎ Π¦Π‘ ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ»ΠΆΠ°Π΅Ρ‚ ΠΈΠ³Π½ΠΎΡ€ΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ проинфляционныС эффСкты ставки ΠΈ Π±ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΡ‚ΡŒΡΡ с ΠΊΠΎΡ€ΠΏΠΎΡ€Π°Ρ‚ΠΈΠ²Π½Ρ‹ΠΌ ΠΊΡ€Π΅Π΄ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠΌ, Ρ‡Ρ‚ΠΎ ΠΏΡ€ΠΈΠ²ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡ‚ ΠΈ систСму, ΠΈ Π”ΠšΠŸ ΠΊ кризису ΠΏΡ€ΠΈ Π±ΠΎΠ»Π΅Π΅ высокой инфляции.
β€” Π›ΠΈΠ±ΠΎ ΠΌΡ‹ мСняСм ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Ρ…ΠΎΠ΄Ρ‹ ΠΊ Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°ΠΌΠΈΠΊΠ΅ ΠΊΡ€Π΅Π΄ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠ² ΠΈ Π΄Π΅ΠΏΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠ², Ρ‚Π΅Ρ€ΠΏΠΈΠΌ ΠΏΠΎΠ²Ρ‹ΡˆΠ΅Π½Π½ΡƒΡŽ ΠΈΠ½Ρ„Π»ΡΡ†ΠΈΡŽ, ΠΏΠΎΠΊΠ° курс Π½Π΅ стабилизируСтся, Π° ΠΏΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠΌ сниТаСм ставки.

Π€ΠΎΠ½Π΄ΠΎΠ²Ρ‹ΠΉ Ρ€Ρ‹Π½ΠΎΠΊ ΠΏΡ€ΠΈ любом сцСнарии Π½Π°ΠΉΠ΄Π΅Ρ‚, Ссли ΡƒΠΆΠ΅ Π½Π΅ нашСл, своС Π΄Π½ΠΎ ΠΈ отскочит Π½Π° дСсятки ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½Ρ‚ΠΎΠ². Π›ΡƒΡ‡ΡˆΠ΅, Ρ‡Ρ‚ΠΎΠ±Ρ‹ это Π±Ρ‹Π» Π·Π΄ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠ²Ρ‹ΠΉ рост Π½Π° сниТСнии ставок ΠΈ инфляции, Ρ‡Π΅ΠΌ проинфляционный рост.

● Риски для экономики России, каТСтся, чисто Π²Π½ΡƒΡ‚Ρ€Π΅Π½Π½ΠΈΠ΅: Π² отсутствии ΠΊΠΎΠΎΡ€Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°Ρ†ΠΈΠΈ Π±ΡŽΠ΄ΠΆΠ΅Ρ‚Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΈ Π΄Π΅Π½Π΅ΠΆΠ½ΠΎ-ΠΊΡ€Π΅Π΄ΠΈΡ‚Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡ‚ΠΈΠΊΠΈ. К Π»ΡŽΠ±Ρ‹ΠΌ внСшним шокам ΠΌΡ‹ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠ²Π»Π΅Π½Ρ‹ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ Π½ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ³Π΄Π°.

@emcr_experts
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🌲 Π§Ρ‚ΠΎ ΠΆΠ΄Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ российской экономикС ΠΎΡ‚ 2025 Π³ΠΎΠ΄Π°?
Об этом Π½Π° ΠΏΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠ³Π΅ Нового Π³ΠΎΠ΄Π° EMCR News спросил Π³Π»Π°Π²Π½Ρ‹Ρ… экспСртов ΠΌΠ°ΠΊΡ€ΠΎΡ‚Π΅Π»Π΅Π³Ρ€Π°ΠΌΠ°.

Автор Π’Π“-ΠΊΠ°Π½Π°Π»Π° @Truevalue Π’ΠΈΠΊΡ‚ΠΎΡ€ Π’ΡƒΠ½Π΅Π²:

Π’Ρ‚ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠΉ Π³ΠΎΠ΄ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ Π·Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎΠΌ свСрхвысоких Π² Ρ€Π΅Π°Π»ΡŒΠ½ΠΎΠΌ Π²Ρ‹Ρ€Π°ΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΈ ставок ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅Ρ‚ ΡΡ‚Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ Ρ€Π΅ΡˆΠ°ΡŽΡ‰ΠΈΠΌ. И здСсь Ρ€Π°Π·Π²ΠΈΠ»ΠΊΠ° Π½Π΅ самая Ρ…ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΡˆΠ°Ρ для ΠΏΡ€Π΅ΠΆΠ½Π΅ΠΉ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡ‚ΠΈΠΊΠΈ Π‘Π°Π½ΠΊΠ° России:

β€” Π›ΠΈΠ±ΠΎ Π¦Π‘ ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ»ΠΆΠ°Π΅Ρ‚ ΠΈΠ³Π½ΠΎΡ€ΠΈΡ€ΠΎΠ²Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ проинфляционныС эффСкты ставки ΠΈ Π±ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΡ‚ΡŒΡΡ с ΠΊΠΎΡ€ΠΏΠΎΡ€Π°Ρ‚ΠΈΠ²Π½Ρ‹ΠΌ ΠΊΡ€Π΅Π΄ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠΌ, Ρ‡Ρ‚ΠΎ ΠΏΡ€ΠΈΠ²ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡ‚ ΠΈ систСму, ΠΈ Π”ΠšΠŸ ΠΊ кризису ΠΏΡ€ΠΈ Π±ΠΎΠ»Π΅Π΅ высокой инфляции.
β€” Π›ΠΈΠ±ΠΎ ΠΌΡ‹ мСняСм ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Ρ…ΠΎΠ΄Ρ‹ ΠΊ Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°ΠΌΠΈΠΊΠ΅ ΠΊΡ€Π΅Π΄ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠ² ΠΈ Π΄Π΅ΠΏΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡ‚ΠΎΠ², Ρ‚Π΅Ρ€ΠΏΠΈΠΌ ΠΏΠΎΠ²Ρ‹ΡˆΠ΅Π½Π½ΡƒΡŽ ΠΈΠ½Ρ„Π»ΡΡ†ΠΈΡŽ, ΠΏΠΎΠΊΠ° курс Π½Π΅ стабилизируСтся, Π° ΠΏΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠΌ сниТаСм ставки.

Π€ΠΎΠ½Π΄ΠΎΠ²Ρ‹ΠΉ Ρ€Ρ‹Π½ΠΎΠΊ ΠΏΡ€ΠΈ любом сцСнарии Π½Π°ΠΉΠ΄Π΅Ρ‚, Ссли ΡƒΠΆΠ΅ Π½Π΅ нашСл, своС Π΄Π½ΠΎ ΠΈ отскочит Π½Π° дСсятки ΠΏΡ€ΠΎΡ†Π΅Π½Ρ‚ΠΎΠ². Π›ΡƒΡ‡ΡˆΠ΅, Ρ‡Ρ‚ΠΎΠ±Ρ‹ это Π±Ρ‹Π» Π·Π΄ΠΎΡ€ΠΎΠ²Ρ‹ΠΉ рост Π½Π° сниТСнии ставок ΠΈ инфляции, Ρ‡Π΅ΠΌ проинфляционный рост.

● Риски для экономики России, каТСтся, чисто Π²Π½ΡƒΡ‚Ρ€Π΅Π½Π½ΠΈΠ΅: Π² отсутствии ΠΊΠΎΠΎΡ€Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°Ρ†ΠΈΠΈ Π±ΡŽΠ΄ΠΆΠ΅Ρ‚Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΈ Π΄Π΅Π½Π΅ΠΆΠ½ΠΎ-ΠΊΡ€Π΅Π΄ΠΈΡ‚Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡ‚ΠΈΠΊΠΈ. К Π»ΡŽΠ±Ρ‹ΠΌ внСшним шокам ΠΌΡ‹ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡ‚ΠΎΠ²Π»Π΅Π½Ρ‹ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ Π½ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ³Π΄Π°.

@emcr_experts

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The picture was mixed overseas. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.6%, under pressure from U.S. regulatory scrutiny on New York-listed Chinese companies. Stocks were more buoyant in Europe, where Frankfurt’s DAX surged 1.4%. Russians and Ukrainians are both prolific users of Telegram. They rely on the app for channels that act as newsfeeds, group chats (both public and private), and one-to-one communication. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Telegram has remained an important lifeline for both Russians and Ukrainians, as a way of staying aware of the latest news and keeping in touch with loved ones. "We as Ukrainians believe that the truth is on our side, whether it's truth that you're proclaiming about the war and everything else, why would you want to hide it?," he said. The S&P 500 fell 1.3% to 4,204.36, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.7% to 32,943.33. The Dow posted a fifth straight weekly loss β€” its longest losing streak since 2019. The Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.2% to 12,843.81. Though all three indexes opened in the green, stocks took a turn after a new report showed U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated more than expected in early March as consumers' inflation expectations soared to the highest since 1981. At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised.
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