Основной риск, который выделяет и регулятор, — это рост доли средств населения на расчетных счетах, которые можно в любой момент потратить на потребление. На сколько Банку России необходимо поднять ключевую ставку, чтобы удержать эти деньги на счетах или вынудить их мигрировать на срочные депозиты или облигационный рынок? Стандартного шага в 0.25 п.п. вполне хватило бы в обычных условиях, но нам нужно сдержать отложенный спрос.
Основной риск, который выделяет и регулятор, — это рост доли средств населения на расчетных счетах, которые можно в любой момент потратить на потребление. На сколько Банку России необходимо поднять ключевую ставку, чтобы удержать эти деньги на счетах или вынудить их мигрировать на срочные депозиты или облигационный рынок? Стандартного шага в 0.25 п.п. вполне хватило бы в обычных условиях, но нам нужно сдержать отложенный спрос.
This provided opportunity to their linked entities to offload their shares at higher prices and make significant profits at the cost of unsuspecting retail investors. Telegram has become more interventionist over time, and has steadily increased its efforts to shut down these accounts. But this has also meant that the company has also engaged with lawmakers more generally, although it maintains that it doesn’t do so willingly. For instance, in September 2021, Telegram reportedly blocked a chat bot in support of (Putin critic) Alexei Navalny during Russia’s most recent parliamentary elections. Pavel Durov was quoted at the time saying that the company was obliged to follow a “legitimate” law of the land. He added that as Apple and Google both follow the law, to violate it would give both platforms a reason to boot the messenger from its stores. Either way, Durov says that he withdrew his resignation but that he was ousted from his company anyway. Subsequently, control of the company was reportedly handed to oligarchs Alisher Usmanov and Igor Sechin, both allegedly close associates of Russian leader Vladimir Putin. That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future. But because group chats and the channel features are not end-to-end encrypted, Galperin said user privacy is potentially under threat.
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