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Graham Linehan, the creator of Father Ted and the IT Crowd, was arrested by 5 armed guards in the UK for "transphobic" tweets.
His one bail condition is that he's not allowed to use X. The UK is dystopian beyond belief.
His one bail condition is that he's not allowed to use X. The UK is dystopian beyond belief.
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So many people sensationalising this absolute nothing burger today.
Let me break down how insignificant this is: the guy who died today was 80 years old after a long chronic illness. The six previous deaths are spread out since early July, an entire two months. Not only that, but it's for a region that typically runs 20k candidates. AfD polls at about 20-25% nationally right now, so probably at minimum they would run 2k candidates here.
But wait, two of the supposedly mysterious deaths were of "backup candidates", meaning the overall pool is probably a multiple of 2k. Let's just say with backup candidates, it's only double the low estimate of 2k. What are the odds that of a pool of 4,000 Germans, with an average age of mid 50s (it's probably even older), 6 of them will die in an 8 week window?
The annual death rate for this age group in Germany is apparently about 0.5%. That means the expected deaths of a pool of 4,000 over an 8 week period would actually be 3 people, or:
4,000 ร 0.5% ร (8 รท 52) = 3.07
And the chances of it being 6 or more is about 9%, or 1 in 11. And that is using a very low estimate of candidates and "backup candidates" to calculate. That's what hysterical influencers are saying is statistically impossible and using to conclude there is a plot to assassinate 80 year old local German politicians.
And that's just putting aside the minor detail that most of these people had long term health conditions and no one associated is alleging any foul play.
Let me break down how insignificant this is: the guy who died today was 80 years old after a long chronic illness. The six previous deaths are spread out since early July, an entire two months. Not only that, but it's for a region that typically runs 20k candidates. AfD polls at about 20-25% nationally right now, so probably at minimum they would run 2k candidates here.
But wait, two of the supposedly mysterious deaths were of "backup candidates", meaning the overall pool is probably a multiple of 2k. Let's just say with backup candidates, it's only double the low estimate of 2k. What are the odds that of a pool of 4,000 Germans, with an average age of mid 50s (it's probably even older), 6 of them will die in an 8 week window?
The annual death rate for this age group in Germany is apparently about 0.5%. That means the expected deaths of a pool of 4,000 over an 8 week period would actually be 3 people, or:
4,000 ร 0.5% ร (8 รท 52) = 3.07
And the chances of it being 6 or more is about 9%, or 1 in 11. And that is using a very low estimate of candidates and "backup candidates" to calculate. That's what hysterical influencers are saying is statistically impossible and using to conclude there is a plot to assassinate 80 year old local German politicians.
And that's just putting aside the minor detail that most of these people had long term health conditions and no one associated is alleging any foul play.
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Watch my discussion with Ed Dutton in beautiful Ljubljana!
https://youtu.be/4yDR9BCZ4S8?si=jkX5MJwYZ8XYRNwB
https://youtu.be/4yDR9BCZ4S8?si=jkX5MJwYZ8XYRNwB
YouTube
Democracy was a period of timeโand now its over | Keith Woods
Join my Substack: https://www.jollyheretic.com/
And check out my personal website: https://edwarddutton.com/
And check out my personal website: https://edwarddutton.com/
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
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๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฑโก- Doha, Qatar. Likely assassination attempts against Hamas officials residing in the capital.
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐ถ๐ฆ๐ต๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑโก๏ธ- Initial, unconfirmed reports suggest that the entire Hamas political bureau was present at the location of the strike.
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Mass democracy makes serious welfare reform politically impossible and can only survive with perpetual growth.
So instead they'll postpone the crisis with decades of human quantitative easing and no plan for what comes at the inevitable end of this civilizational ponzi scheme.
https://keithwoods.pub/p/boomers-to-bust
So instead they'll postpone the crisis with decades of human quantitative easing and no plan for what comes at the inevitable end of this civilizational ponzi scheme.
https://keithwoods.pub/p/boomers-to-bust
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Forwarded from GeoPWatch (Angry Iowan โ๏ธ)
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Trump asked to disavow radicals on the right: "I couldn't care less. The radicals on the right oftentimes are radical because they don't want to see crime. The radicals on the left are the problem"
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This is unbelievable. Reuters cites a Rachel Kleinfeld to allege Kirk's shooter was affiliated with the groypers โ the same shooter who numerous sources have corroborated was a leftist with a trans partner.
Can't remember the last time we saw a hoax this blatant.
Can't remember the last time we saw a hoax this blatant.
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Media is too big
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๐ต๐ฑ Polish MP Dariusz Matecki wears a 'White Lives Matter' t-shirt while speaking in the Polish Sejm and highlights the murder of Iryna Zarutskaya, and other recent murders of young white women by migrants in Germany and Poland.
So refreshing to see this in a national parliament.
So refreshing to see this in a national parliament.
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Media is too big
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The Migrants Are Coming
Premiers Friday, 19.09.25
Premiers Friday, 19.09.25
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