There is an old adage in markets: "Bond yields will rise until something breaks". And rise they did. Given inflation's stubbornness, especially in services, talk of tariffs, onshoring, and other factors, a 5 handle on 10-year treasuries is expected sometime this year. A point I voiced earlier. That is if an exogenous shock won't derail the economy before. One such possibility, albeit minuscule, could materialize from the current fires in LA. They'll test the abilities of the insurance industry. Currently, the situation is too fluid, and markets are closed due to the national mourning of Jimmy Carter.
So grab the popcorn, the movie is called American Exceptionalism vs Bond Vigilantes!
There is an old adage in markets: "Bond yields will rise until something breaks". And rise they did. Given inflation's stubbornness, especially in services, talk of tariffs, onshoring, and other factors, a 5 handle on 10-year treasuries is expected sometime this year. A point I voiced earlier. That is if an exogenous shock won't derail the economy before. One such possibility, albeit minuscule, could materialize from the current fires in LA. They'll test the abilities of the insurance industry. Currently, the situation is too fluid, and markets are closed due to the national mourning of Jimmy Carter.
So grab the popcorn, the movie is called American Exceptionalism vs Bond Vigilantes!
#finance #AmericanDynamism
BY Random Thoughts
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But the Ukraine Crisis Media Center's Tsekhanovska points out that communications are often down in zones most affected by the war, making this sort of cross-referencing a luxury many cannot afford. Telegram does offer end-to-end encrypted communications through Secret Chats, but this is not the default setting. Standard conversations use the MTProto method, enabling server-client encryption but with them stored on the server for ease-of-access. This makes using Telegram across multiple devices simple, but also means that the regular Telegram chats you’re having with folks are not as secure as you may believe. Despite Telegram's origins, its approach to users' security has privacy advocates worried. "Markets were cheering this economic recovery and return to strong economic growth, but the cheers will turn to tears if the inflation outbreak pushes businesses and consumers to the brink of recession," he added. As a result, the pandemic saw many newcomers to Telegram, including prominent anti-vaccine activists who used the app's hands-off approach to share false information on shots, a study from the Institute for Strategic Dialogue shows.
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