#Romania, Sociopol poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 29% (+1)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 21%
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 15% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 12%
Geoană (*): 9%
Diaconescu (*): 9% (+1)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (-1)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 2%

+/- vs. 28 October - 01 November 2024

Fieldwork: 04-08 November 2024
Sample size: 1,001

➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania

#Romania, CURS poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 28% (+2)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 17% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 12% (-2)
Geoană (*): 9% (-6)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 5% (+3)
Diaconescu (*): 5%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 4% (+2)
Orban (FD-→EPP): 2%

+/- vs. 11-16 October 2024

Fieldwork: 30 October - 05 November 2024
Sample size: 1,067

➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania

#Ireland, Red C poll:

FG-EPP: 22%
FF-RE: 21%
SF-LEFT: 18%
SD→S&D: 6% (+1)
AON-*: 5% (+2)
GP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 3% (-1)
II-RE: 3% (-2)
PBP/S~LEFT: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 16-22 October 2024

Fieldwork: 1-7 November 2024
Sample size: 1,208

➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 17%
SPD-S&D: 16% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
BSW-NI: 5% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 7 November 2024

Fieldwork: 5-11 November 2024
Sample size: 2,501

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Norway, Respons Analyse poll:

H-EPP: 26% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 21% (-1)
FrP~ECR: 19% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 8% (-2)
V-RE: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5%
R~LEFT: 5%
MDG-G/EFA: 4%
KrF-EPP: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 4-9 September 2024

Fieldwork: 10-14 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway, Norstat poll:

H-EPP: 23% (-3)
FrP~ECR: 22% (+3)
Ap-S&D: 19% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 9% (+1)
R~LEFT: 6% (+1)
V-RE: 6% (+1)
Sp~RE: 5%
MDG-G/EFA: 4% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 2%

+/- vs. 17-21 September 2024

Fieldwork: 15-19 October 2024
Sample size: 992

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Czechia, Median poll:

ANO-PfE: 34% (+1)
ODS-ECR: 12%
STAN-EPP: 11%
Piráti-G/EFA: 7% (-2)
Auto-PfE: 6% (+2)
KSČM-NI: 5%
SPD-ESN: 5% (-2)
TOP09-EPP: 4% (-1)
KDU/ČSL-EPP: 4% (+2)
Přísaha-PfE: 4% (-1)
SOCDEM-S&D: 3% (-1)
PRO-*: 2%

+/- vs. 1 - 30 September 2024

Fieldwork: 1 - 31 October 2024
Sample size: 1,018

➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Czechia: right-wing Motoristé Sobě (PfE) reaches an all-time record high with 6.0% in the latest Median poll.

If repeated in a national parliament election, the party would gain parliamentary representation for the first time.

In June 2024, the party gained representation in the European Parliament with 10.3% in an electoral alliance with Přísaha (PfE)

➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia

Türkiye, BETİMAR poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (-3)
AKP~NI: 29%
MHP~NI: 11% (+1)
DEM-S&D: 9% (+1)
ZP-*: 4%
İYİ~RE: 4% (+1)
YRP-*: 4% (-3)
TİP-*: 2% (+1)
AP-*: 2% (new)

+/- vs. August 2024

Fieldwork: September 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, BETİMAR poll:

AKP~NI: 31% (+2)
CHP-S&D: 30% (-2)
MHP~NI: 10% (-1)
DEM-S&D: 10% (+1)
İYİ~RE: 4%
ZP-*: 4%
YRP-*: 4%
AP-*: 2%
TİP-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. September 2024

Fieldwork: October 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, BETİMAR poll:

AKP~NI: 32% (+1)
CHP-S&D: 30%
DEM-S&D: 8% (-2)
MHP~NI: 8% (-2)
ZP-*: 6% (+2)
İYİ~RE: 6% (+2)
YRP-*: 4%
AP-*: 3% (+1)
TİP-*: 1%

+/- vs. October 2024

Fieldwork: 2-4 November 2024
Sample size: 1,515

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 30% (+1)
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 11% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3% (+1)
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PTD-LEFT: 1%

+/- vs. 28 October - 4 November 2024

Fieldwork: 6-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Romania, Verified poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 26% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 21% (+1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 16% (-1)
Geoană (*): 13% (-4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 9% (+2)
Georgescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Diaconescu (*): 4% (-3)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 3%
Orban (FD→EPP): 1%
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 1% (n.a.)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 0% (-2)
Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 07-09 October 2024

Fieldwork: 01-06 November 2024
Sample size: 1,064

➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania

#Romania, CIRA poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 29% (+4)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 19% (+3)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 17% (+4)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 16% (+3)
Geoană (*): 9% (-5)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (n.a.)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 1% (n.a.)
Georgescu (*): 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 24-30 August 2024

Fieldwork: 01-06 November 2024
Sample size: 1,150

➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania

#Romania, BCS poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 27% (+3)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 18%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 14%
Simion (AUR-ECR): 12% (-4)
Geoană (*): 8% (-2)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+1)
Georgescu (*): 6% (+3)
Diaconescu (*): 5% (-2)
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 3% (+2)
Orban (FD→EPP): 1% (-1)
Birchall (*): 1%
Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0%

+/- vs. 24-28 October 2024

Fieldwork: 07-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,157

➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania

#Switzerland: on 24 November, voters will cast their votes in four ballots on highways, tenancy law and health insurance.

The second gfs.bern poll shows a dynamic against the four ballots.

+/- vs. 30 September - 14 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October - 7 November 2024
Sample size: 10,358

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Norway, Verian poll:

H-EPP: 26% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 20% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 18% (-5)
SV~LEFT: 9%
Sp~RE: 8% (+2)
V-RE: 6% (+2)
R~LEFT: 6%
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
KrF-EPP: 3%

+/- vs. 30 September-4 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October-1 November 2024
Sample size: 999

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Poland, IBRiS poll:

Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)

Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 59%
Czarnek (PiS-ECR): 41%

Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 58%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 42%

Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 57%
Czarnek (PiS-ECR): 43%

Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 56%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 44%

Fieldwork: 7-9 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Slovakia, NMS poll:

PS-RE: 25% (+1)
Smer-NI: 19% (-1)
Hlas-NI: 11% (-1)
Republika-ESN: 9% (+1)
KDH-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
S-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
D-EPP: 4% (-1)
SR~PfE: 4%
MA-EPP: 4%
SNS~PfE: 3%
ĽSNS-NI: 1%

+/- vs. 2-7 October 2024

Fieldwork: 7-11 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 27% (-6)
RE-RE: 18% (+1)
KE-RE|ECR: 17% (+5)
EKRE-PfE: 14% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 13%
E200→EPP: 5% (+1)
PP→EPP: 3% (-3)
EER-G/EFA: 2%
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK~ECR: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 28 October-3 November 2024

Fieldwork: 4-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia