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🇪🇨📊 Как и в любом случае с выборами из двух сильных кандидатов, разные опросы по Эквадору дают два диаметрально противоположных результата прямо в первом туре: центр Cedatos даёт 41,4% (48,3% «чистых голосов») Даниэлю Нобоа, а MR Analitica – 43,09 (49,55% «чистыми») для Луисы Гонсалес.

Правда, даже такое убедительное преимущество того или иного кандидата всё равно не страхует от второго тура, не такого и обязательного в случае прогнозируемых результатов.

Оба поллстера отмечают существенню долю неопределившихся или пока нигилистически настроенных избрателей, от 9-11% до 13% эквадорцев могут определиться с выбором лишь в последние несколько дней – ну, или не определиться вообще.



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🇪🇨📊 Как и в любом случае с выборами из двух сильных кандидатов, разные опросы по Эквадору дают два диаметрально противоположных результата прямо в первом туре: центр Cedatos даёт 41,4% (48,3% «чистых голосов») Даниэлю Нобоа, а MR Analitica – 43,09 (49,55% «чистыми») для Луисы Гонсалес.

Правда, даже такое убедительное преимущество того или иного кандидата всё равно не страхует от второго тура, не такого и обязательного в случае прогнозируемых результатов.

Оба поллстера отмечают существенню долю неопределившихся или пока нигилистически настроенных избрателей, от 9-11% до 13% эквадорцев могут определиться с выбором лишь в последние несколько дней – ну, или не определиться вообще.

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Russians and Ukrainians are both prolific users of Telegram. They rely on the app for channels that act as newsfeeds, group chats (both public and private), and one-to-one communication. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Telegram has remained an important lifeline for both Russians and Ukrainians, as a way of staying aware of the latest news and keeping in touch with loved ones. On Telegram’s website, it says that Pavel Durov “supports Telegram financially and ideologically while Nikolai (Duvov)’s input is technological.” Currently, the Telegram team is based in Dubai, having moved around from Berlin, London and Singapore after departing Russia. Meanwhile, the company which owns Telegram is registered in the British Virgin Islands. Ukrainian forces have since put up a strong resistance to the Russian troops amid the war that has left hundreds of Ukrainian civilians, including children, dead, according to the United Nations. Ukrainian and international officials have accused Russia of targeting civilian populations with shelling and bombardments. Telegram has become more interventionist over time, and has steadily increased its efforts to shut down these accounts. But this has also meant that the company has also engaged with lawmakers more generally, although it maintains that it doesn’t do so willingly. For instance, in September 2021, Telegram reportedly blocked a chat bot in support of (Putin critic) Alexei Navalny during Russia’s most recent parliamentary elections. Pavel Durov was quoted at the time saying that the company was obliged to follow a “legitimate” law of the land. He added that as Apple and Google both follow the law, to violate it would give both platforms a reason to boot the messenger from its stores. He said that since his platform does not have the capacity to check all channels, it may restrict some in Russia and Ukraine "for the duration of the conflict," but then reversed course hours later after many users complained that Telegram was an important source of information.
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