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👑 Конец режима: Как идентифицировать переход из одного режима экономики в другой в реальном времени?

Алгоритмов сегментации временных рядов много, но сейчас нас устраивает следующий подход из двух шагов:

1. Сегменитируем временной ряд на кусочки "стационарных" распределений показателя по рецепту из Heuristic Segmentation of a Nonstationary Time Series Bernaola-Galv´an et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 87, 168105 (2001)]

2. Собираем нарезанные "отрезки" ряда в режимы на основе KNN кластеризации распределений показателя

Поделитесь своими рецептами идентификации перехода экономики между режимами - напишите, если интересно посмотреть на код

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👑 Конец режима: Как идентифицировать переход из одного режима экономики в другой в реальном времени?

Алгоритмов сегментации временных рядов много, но сейчас нас устраивает следующий подход из двух шагов:

1. Сегменитируем временной ряд на кусочки "стационарных" распределений показателя по рецепту из Heuristic Segmentation of a Nonstationary Time Series Bernaola-Galv´an et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 87, 168105 (2001)]

2. Собираем нарезанные "отрезки" ряда в режимы на основе KNN кластеризации распределений показателя

Поделитесь своими рецептами идентификации перехода экономики между режимами - напишите, если интересно посмотреть на код

@c0ldenss

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And while money initially moved into stocks in the morning, capital moved out of safe-haven assets. The price of the 10-year Treasury note fell Friday, sending its yield up to 2% from a March closing low of 1.73%. Pavel Durov, a billionaire who embraces an all-black wardrobe and is often compared to the character Neo from "the Matrix," funds Telegram through his personal wealth and debt financing. And despite being one of the world's most popular tech companies, Telegram reportedly has only about 30 employees who defer to Durov for most major decisions about the platform. In February 2014, the Ukrainian people ousted pro-Russian president Viktor Yanukovych, prompting Russia to invade and annex the Crimean peninsula. By the start of April, Pavel Durov had given his notice, with TechCrunch saying at the time that the CEO had resisted pressure to suppress pages criticizing the Russian government. At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) had carried out a similar exercise in 2017 in a matter related to circulation of messages through WhatsApp.
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