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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

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🎯 Какой должна была бы быть ключевая ставка, если бы Банк России следовал денежной политике, основанной на правилах?

18%

Предположения:

- долгосрочная реальная ставка r* = 5% (=> долгосрочная номинальная ключевая ставка i* = 4+5 = 9%)

- прогнозная инфляция Банка России через 3 квартала 6.5% г/г

- оценка разрыва выпуска Банка России на 3кв24 2% ВВП

⚓️ Правило Тейлора для ключевой ставки: что? зачем? за что?

@c0ldness

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"Like the bombing of the maternity ward in Mariupol," he said, "Even before it hits the news, you see the videos on the Telegram channels." Messages are not fully encrypted by default. That means the company could, in theory, access the content of the messages, or be forced to hand over the data at the request of a government. At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised. "There is a significant risk of insider threat or hacking of Telegram systems that could expose all of these chats to the Russian government," said Eva Galperin with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, which has called for Telegram to improve its privacy practices. Recently, Durav wrote on his Telegram channel that users' right to privacy, in light of the war in Ukraine, is "sacred, now more than ever."
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