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While China’s overall oil demand still appears stable, its composition is shifting gears rapidly. Gasoline and diesel demand seems to have peaked: China’s total demand for these transportation fuels in 2024 will be 3.6% lower than in 2021, according to IEA estimates.
China’s housing bust is partly to blame, as a slowdown in construction led to weaker demand for diesel used in machinery.
But a bigger story comes from China’s rapid shift in personal transportation, and especially the rise of electric vehicles. More than half of the passenger cars sold in the country in recent months were new-energy vehicles, which includes plug-in hybrids, according to the China Passenger Car Association. Largely because of that trend, China’s gasoline demand in 2025 is expected to be 6.4% lower than the peak in 2021, according to IEA projections.
https://archive.ph/GWcQ7#selection-5905.0-5909.552
BY ГАЗОВЫЙ ХАБ
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