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Собачье сердце капитализма | Telegram Webview: MarketHeart/2415 -

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Собачье сердце капитализма

Собачье сердце капитализма

Примерный расклад: ставка по 10-леткам США — 5%, ипотечный 30-летний кредит — 8% (+3% премии) – Банковский сектор сидит на $600 млрд нереализованных убытках + идет вялотекущий обвал коммерческой недвижки и кредитный кризис – ФРС все это заливает отдельными…

Самый важный в мире рынок суверенного долга сейчас держится на плечах спекулянтов.

«Данные Комиссии по торговле товарными фьючерсами (CFTC) за неделю, закончившуюся 17 октября, показывают, что короткие сделки с кредитным плечом (хедж-фонды и спекулянты) выросли на 250 тыс. до всего 4.71 млн контрактов — значительно больше, чем пиковая совокупная чистая короткая позиция с 2019 года на уровне 4 млн контрактов».

@MarketHeart

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2.8K viewsOct 23, 2023 at 10:53

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Create: 2023-10-23
Last Update: 2025-01-30 05:41:34

Самый важный в мире рынок суверенного долга сейчас держится на плечах спекулянтов.

«Данные Комиссии по торговле товарными фьючерсами (CFTC) за неделю, закончившуюся 17 октября, показывают, что короткие сделки с кредитным плечом (хедж-фонды и спекулянты) выросли на 250 тыс. до всего 4.71 млн контрактов — значительно больше, чем пиковая совокупная чистая короткая позиция с 2019 года на уровне 4 млн контрактов».

@MarketHeart

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Date: 2025-01-30|

Overall, extreme levels of fear in the market seems to have morphed into something more resembling concern. For example, the Cboe Volatility Index fell from its 2022 peak of 36, which it hit Monday, to around 30 on Friday, a sign of easing tensions. Meanwhile, while the price of WTI crude oil slipped from Sunday’s multiyear high $130 of barrel to $109 a pop. Markets have been expecting heavy restrictions on Russian oil, some of which the U.S. has already imposed, and that would reduce the global supply and bring about even more burdensome inflation. You may recall that, back when Facebook started changing WhatsApp’s terms of service, a number of news outlets reported on, and even recommended, switching to Telegram. Pavel Durov even said that users should delete WhatsApp “unless you are cool with all of your photos and messages becoming public one day.” But Telegram can’t be described as a more-secure version of WhatsApp. That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future. Telegram does offer end-to-end encrypted communications through Secret Chats, but this is not the default setting. Standard conversations use the MTProto method, enabling server-client encryption but with them stored on the server for ease-of-access. This makes using Telegram across multiple devices simple, but also means that the regular Telegram chats you’re having with folks are not as secure as you may believe. Just days after Russia invaded Ukraine, Durov wrote that Telegram was "increasingly becoming a source of unverified information," and he worried about the app being used to "incite ethnic hatred."
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