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Александр Гапоненко: Российско-украинский конфликт. Интересы участников, внутренние ограничения, внешняя среда и сценарии разрешения. Часть II

Как принято в среде прогнозистов, составим оптимистический, пессимистический и реалистический сценарии развития российско-украинского конфликта. При этом будем ориентироваться на среднесрочный горизонт в пять лет.

👉 https://ca/izborsk.com-club.ru/26486



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Александр Гапоненко: Российско-украинский конфликт. Интересы участников, внутренние ограничения, внешняя среда и сценарии разрешения. Часть II

Как принято в среде прогнозистов, составим оптимистический, пессимистический и реалистический сценарии развития российско-украинского конфликта. При этом будем ориентироваться на среднесрочный горизонт в пять лет.

👉 https://ca/izborsk.com-club.ru/26486

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At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised. Messages are not fully encrypted by default. That means the company could, in theory, access the content of the messages, or be forced to hand over the data at the request of a government. Unlike Silicon Valley giants such as Facebook and Twitter, which run very public anti-disinformation programs, Brooking said: "Telegram is famously lax or absent in its content moderation policy." That hurt tech stocks. For the past few weeks, the 10-year yield has traded between 1.72% and 2%, as traders moved into the bond for safety when Russia headlines were ugly—and out of it when headlines improved. Now, the yield is touching its pandemic-era high. If the yield breaks above that level, that could signal that it’s on a sustainable path higher. Higher long-dated bond yields make future profits less valuable—and many tech companies are valued on the basis of profits forecast for many years in the future. Recently, Durav wrote on his Telegram channel that users' right to privacy, in light of the war in Ukraine, is "sacred, now more than ever."
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