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Александр Гапоненко: Российско-украинский конфликт. Интересы участников, внутренние ограничения, внешняя среда и сценарии разрешения. Часть II
Как принято в среде прогнозистов, составим оптимистический, пессимистический и реалистический сценарии развития российско-украинского конфликта. При этом будем ориентироваться на среднесрочный горизонт в пять лет.
Александр Гапоненко: Российско-украинский конфликт. Интересы участников, внутренние ограничения, внешняя среда и сценарии разрешения. Часть II
Как принято в среде прогнозистов, составим оптимистический, пессимистический и реалистический сценарии развития российско-украинского конфликта. При этом будем ориентироваться на среднесрочный горизонт в пять лет.
At the start of 2018, the company attempted to launch an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) which would enable it to enable payments (and earn the cash that comes from doing so). The initial signals were promising, especially given Telegram’s user base is already fairly crypto-savvy. It raised an initial tranche of cash – worth more than a billion dollars – to help develop the coin before opening sales to the public. Unfortunately, third-party sales of coins bought in those initial fundraising rounds raised the ire of the SEC, which brought the hammer down on the whole operation. In 2020, officials ordered Telegram to pay a fine of $18.5 million and hand back much of the cash that it had raised. The picture was mixed overseas. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.6%, under pressure from U.S. regulatory scrutiny on New York-listed Chinese companies. Stocks were more buoyant in Europe, where Frankfurt’s DAX surged 1.4%. Investors took profits on Friday while they could ahead of the weekend, explained Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Saturday and Sunday could easily bring unfortunate news on the war front—and traders would rather be able to sell any recent winnings at Friday’s earlier prices than wait for a potentially lower price at Monday’s open. In addition, Telegram's architecture limits the ability to slow the spread of false information: the lack of a central public feed, and the fact that comments are easily disabled in channels, reduce the space for public pushback. "Like the bombing of the maternity ward in Mariupol," he said, "Even before it hits the news, you see the videos on the Telegram channels."
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