Abu Ali Express in English

Iranian Regime Braces for Imminent Challenges Amid Anticipated Wave of Protests

The Iranian regime is in the worst condition in decades in almost every parameter - troubles, one might say, come in bundles.

Heres a breakdown:

1. After almost a decade in which the Iranian axis in the Middle East grew and developed and reached the peak of its regional power, the axis suffered a series of dramatic blows that brought down three of its significant arms/fronts: Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. The pro-Iranian militia activists in Iraq, the fourth arm/front, understood the general direction and made a U-turn (since the end of November there has been no activity by the militias, at least not at the public level). The regional reputation evaporated. The erosion of Iran's status in the Middle East expanded.

2. For years, the Iranian regime preferred to invest huge sums of tens of billions of dollars in exporting terrorism and "neglected the domestic audience in Iran." Now the regime is facing a broken trough - the "investment portfolio" in overseas terrorism has collapsed and has not delivered the goods, and there is nothing to "feed" the domestic audience.

3. The lack of investment in the country's energy infrastructure, for example in electricity transmission networks, oil refining, and more, has led to a situation in which one of the world's richest energy powers in natural resources in this area is unable to provide energy to its residents. Instead of providing electricity, the Iranian president has been forced to appeal to residents and beg them to lower the temperature in their homes by several degrees in order to save energy. Schools and government offices are closed for days/weeks to save energy during the winter months.

4. The energy crisis will very soon translate into rising fuel and electricity prices - a significant economic burden on Iranian citizens, most of whom are poor. In the recent past, rising gasoline prices brought protesters to the streets and ignited (literally) a wave of riots in which gas stations and government institutions were set on fire. According to companies in the fuel sector in Iran, a price increase is very close. Following this, Iranian sources report that internal instructions were given to government institutions to prepare for a "state of instability" in the country - that is, a wave of demonstrations.

5. Trump. Trump's victory in the US elections, his imminent inauguration as president in January, and the anti-Iranian staff he appointed in the inner circle around him create a real threat to the Iranian regime - the economic and military horizon in this context looks bleaker than ever for the regime. Crippling economic sanctions are imminent.

6. The Iranian currency is collapsing and the inflation rate is soaring. The Iranian rial reached an all-time low this week: 785,000 rials to one US dollar.
For comparison, about a year and a half ago (at the end of April 2023), the Iranian currency was trading at a rate of 500,000 rials to one dollar. The money of Iranian citizens buys less than before.

7. According to foreign sources, Israel will attack Iran in the near future. After being stripped of its air defense assets, the Iranian regime and its military, nuclear, and economic assets are particularly vulnerable to an Israeli (perhaps Israeli-American) attack. Israel has declared that it will not be able to live with an Iranian nuclear capability, and it is clear that this threat is not just talk. Israel's renewed reputation for military superiority in the Middle East gives real validity to the assessments that Israel will attack Iran - all arrows point there. The regime's enemies at home and abroad see, know, and are waiting with bated breath.

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The Iranian regime at this point in time seems weaker than ever. It is at a low point. This radiates inward and outward.

It should be remembered that the main part of the "powerful status" attributed to this regime in recent years came through deception - the result of a well-oiled Shiite propaganda

To comment, follow this link

www.group-telegram.com/us/englishabuali.com/41990

4.5K viewsedited  Dec 24 at 18:11

Iranian Regime Braces for Imminent Challenges Amid Anticipated Wave of Protests

The Iranian regime is in the worst condition in decades in almost every parameter - troubles, one might say, come in bundles.

Heres a breakdown:

1. After almost a decade in which the Iranian axis in the Middle East grew and developed and reached the peak of its regional power, the axis suffered a series of dramatic blows that brought down three of its significant arms/fronts: Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. The pro-Iranian militia activists in Iraq, the fourth arm/front, understood the general direction and made a U-turn (since the end of November there has been no activity by the militias, at least not at the public level). The regional reputation evaporated. The erosion of Iran's status in the Middle East expanded.

2. For years, the Iranian regime preferred to invest huge sums of tens of billions of dollars in exporting terrorism and "neglected the domestic audience in Iran." Now the regime is facing a broken trough - the "investment portfolio" in overseas terrorism has collapsed and has not delivered the goods, and there is nothing to "feed" the domestic audience.

3. The lack of investment in the country's energy infrastructure, for example in electricity transmission networks, oil refining, and more, has led to a situation in which one of the world's richest energy powers in natural resources in this area is unable to provide energy to its residents. Instead of providing electricity, the Iranian president has been forced to appeal to residents and beg them to lower the temperature in their homes by several degrees in order to save energy. Schools and government offices are closed for days/weeks to save energy during the winter months.

4. The energy crisis will very soon translate into rising fuel and electricity prices - a significant economic burden on Iranian citizens, most of whom are poor. In the recent past, rising gasoline prices brought protesters to the streets and ignited (literally) a wave of riots in which gas stations and government institutions were set on fire. According to companies in the fuel sector in Iran, a price increase is very close. Following this, Iranian sources report that internal instructions were given to government institutions to prepare for a "state of instability" in the country - that is, a wave of demonstrations.

5. Trump. Trump's victory in the US elections, his imminent inauguration as president in January, and the anti-Iranian staff he appointed in the inner circle around him create a real threat to the Iranian regime - the economic and military horizon in this context looks bleaker than ever for the regime. Crippling economic sanctions are imminent.

6. The Iranian currency is collapsing and the inflation rate is soaring. The Iranian rial reached an all-time low this week: 785,000 rials to one US dollar.
For comparison, about a year and a half ago (at the end of April 2023), the Iranian currency was trading at a rate of 500,000 rials to one dollar. The money of Iranian citizens buys less than before.

7. According to foreign sources, Israel will attack Iran in the near future. After being stripped of its air defense assets, the Iranian regime and its military, nuclear, and economic assets are particularly vulnerable to an Israeli (perhaps Israeli-American) attack. Israel has declared that it will not be able to live with an Iranian nuclear capability, and it is clear that this threat is not just talk. Israel's renewed reputation for military superiority in the Middle East gives real validity to the assessments that Israel will attack Iran - all arrows point there. The regime's enemies at home and abroad see, know, and are waiting with bated breath.

##
The Iranian regime at this point in time seems weaker than ever. It is at a low point. This radiates inward and outward.

It should be remembered that the main part of the "powerful status" attributed to this regime in recent years came through deception - the result of a well-oiled Shiite propaganda

To comment, follow this link

BY Abu Ali Express in English