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Михаил Комин, политолог: даже самые эффективные рег.команды переварить настолько сложную конструкцию (призвать не любого, а конкретного) не в состоянии. В большинстве случаев мобилизация будет закрываться за счет привычных схем по модели любых выборов с поправкой на опыт недавней прививочной кампании: разнарядка по госпредприятиям и ведомствам со списками + отлов отдельных в режиме облав и спецопераций. В итоге, этот разрыв – между речью Путина / Шойгу о частичности мобилизации и реальностью призыва всех, до кого дотянется региональная госмашина – довольно быстро станет очевиден населению.



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Михаил Комин, политолог: даже самые эффективные рег.команды переварить настолько сложную конструкцию (призвать не любого, а конкретного) не в состоянии. В большинстве случаев мобилизация будет закрываться за счет привычных схем по модели любых выборов с поправкой на опыт недавней прививочной кампании: разнарядка по госпредприятиям и ведомствам со списками + отлов отдельных в режиме облав и спецопераций. В итоге, этот разрыв – между речью Путина / Шойгу о частичности мобилизации и реальностью призыва всех, до кого дотянется региональная госмашина – довольно быстро станет очевиден населению.

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And while money initially moved into stocks in the morning, capital moved out of safe-haven assets. The price of the 10-year Treasury note fell Friday, sending its yield up to 2% from a March closing low of 1.73%. At this point, however, Durov had already been working on Telegram with his brother, and further planned a mobile-first social network with an explicit focus on anti-censorship. Later in April, he told TechCrunch that he had left Russia and had “no plans to go back,” saying that the nation was currently “incompatible with internet business at the moment.” He added later that he was looking for a country that matched his libertarian ideals to base his next startup. The last couple days have exemplified that uncertainty. On Thursday, news emerged that talks in Turkey between the Russia and Ukraine yielded no positive result. But on Friday, Reuters reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin said there had been some “positive shifts” in talks between the two sides. Right now the digital security needs of Russians and Ukrainians are very different, and they lead to very different caveats about how to mitigate the risks associated with using Telegram. For Ukrainians in Ukraine, whose physical safety is at risk because they are in a war zone, digital security is probably not their highest priority. They may value access to news and communication with their loved ones over making sure that all of their communications are encrypted in such a manner that they are indecipherable to Telegram, its employees, or governments with court orders. This provided opportunity to their linked entities to offload their shares at higher prices and make significant profits at the cost of unsuspecting retail investors.
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