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BREAKING: Prediction market odds of a recession hitting in 2025 have fallen to a new low of 27%.

Since November 1st, odds of a recession beginning in 2025 have HALVED, from 54% to 27%, according to @Kalshi.

Meanwhile, GDP growth estimates are rising with ~3% GDP growth expected in Q4 2024.

As inflation rebounds and the Fed cuts rates, markets are pricing-in a lower probability of a recession.

Are rate hikes coming back?
(@TheKobeissiLetter)



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BREAKING: Prediction market odds of a recession hitting in 2025 have fallen to a new low of 27%.

Since November 1st, odds of a recession beginning in 2025 have HALVED, from 54% to 27%, according to @Kalshi.

Meanwhile, GDP growth estimates are rising with ~3% GDP growth expected in Q4 2024.

As inflation rebounds and the Fed cuts rates, markets are pricing-in a lower probability of a recession.

Are rate hikes coming back?
(@TheKobeissiLetter)

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"This time we received the coordinates of enemy vehicles marked 'V' in Kyiv region," it added. Such instructions could actually endanger people — citizens receive air strike warnings via smartphone alerts. Although some channels have been removed, the curation process is considered opaque and insufficient by analysts. The original Telegram channel has expanded into a web of accounts for different locations, including specific pages made for individual Russian cities. There's also an English-language website, which states it is owned by the people who run the Telegram channels. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) had carried out a similar exercise in 2017 in a matter related to circulation of messages through WhatsApp.
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